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Canada's oil producers target late 2027 for Pathways carbon capture decision

The president of Oil Sands Alliance, an industry group that represents Canadian Natural Resources, Imperial Oil, Suncor Energy, Cenovus Energy and ConocoPhillips Canada, said in an interview this week that the country's largest oil producers plan to make a final investment decision by late 2027 on their 6-million-tonne "carbon capture and storage" project. This is a critical part of the country's plans to increase oil production while keeping emissions under control, according the Oil Sands Alliance. Kendall Dilling, the head of the industry group representing Canadian Natural Resources (CNR), Imperial Oil (Suncor Energy), Cenovus Energy (CenocoPhillips Canada), and ConocoPhillips Canada said this week in an interview that he believed oil sands firms would reach a definitive agreement with Alberta and federal governments by mid-November on fiscal terms, which could pave the way for the decision to go ahead with a multi-billion dollar Pathways project.

Dilling stated that the window for an upcoming launch is "late 2027 to early 2028".

The Pathways project is a proposed CO2 transport pipeline and storage hub, which could reduce greenhouse gas emission from Canadian oil sands. It's part of a nonbinding agreement that was signed by Alberta and Canada earlier this year, who agreed to work jointly to increase the country's oil production. Mark Carney, the Canadian Prime Minister, is working to strengthen the oil and gas industry as part of a plan to increase the resilience of the Canadian economy against President Donald Trump's tariffs. However, he says that he remains committed to combating climate change. Mark Carney has endorsed Alberta’s vision for a new pipeline that would export 1 million barrels per day to the Pacific Coast. However, he has stated that his support depends on whether the Pathways project is completed.

Oil sands firms, who first proposed the project for 2021, but balked at its construction costs, signed an agreement with both governments in July. The agreement outlines the conditions necessary for Pathways to be implemented, such as agreements on carbon pricing, financial assistance, and permitting. Many of the policy changes proposed have yet to be drafted into legislation.

Project Scaled Down Environmentalists have criticized the Oil Sands Alliance over the scaling down of the project. The original goal was to reduce emissions by 22 million tonnes?by 2030. Dilling, however, said that the agreement between industry and government -- 6 million tonnes of emissions reduction by mid-2030s with an "additional" 10 million tonnes?by 2045 -- was a better, more balanced middle ground.

He said: "The (prior) proposal was a very aggressive timeline and scale that I thought would have been difficult to manage, and contain costs."

Some oil and gas executives publicly criticized the decision to link the approval of the Pathways project with the approval of the new?oil pipe. Cenovus CEO Jon McKenzie stated in June that Pathways may cost as much as C$30 billion. This would make Canadian producers who are also subjected to a federal carbon tax uncompetitive.

Dilling said that while the industry is concerned about its competitiveness, it's not accurate to say they have soured on carbon?capture.

He said: "Today the global focus on climate change has definitely mellowed, but as an industry we are taking a long-term approach here." "So if in 10 years, the discussion of emissions per barrel is important globally again, we won't be on our heels." We have been on the front foot." Amanda Stephenson, Calgary reporter; Paul Simao, editor

(source: Reuters)