Latest News
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Wall Street Journal, September 23,
These are the most popular stories from?the Wall Street Journal. These stories have not been verified and?has no way of vouching for?their accuracy. - JPMorgan Chase has recently looked at a plan to help ease an old point of contention between credit-card partners like airlines and retailers. This plan would allow private?credits to obtain a new consumer debt. Volodymyr Zelensky, the Ukrainian president, said that he asked President Trump for a 'winter package' of new military equipment and believes that the US will pursue an agreement to stop attacks on energy infrastructure. Qantas Airways will launch a service that is nonstop between Sydney and New York by 2028. This will reduce the journey time from more than three hours. The activist hedge fund Jana Partners is urging Six Flags Entertainment, a theme park operator, to consider a possible sale. Since August, traders?on the Kalshi prediction market have traded almost one million times in the same?market. This unusual activity has attracted the attention of both federal regulators as well as traders.
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New York Times Business News - September 23,
These are the top stories from the business pages of the New York Times. ? The?reports have not been?verified and the?reports are not guaranteed to be accurate. Anthropic has launched Claude Opus 5.5. It is a new AI that it claims to be its'safest ever.' This means it will be less likely to take actions which cannot undo or act outside of the limits given. As part of Project Sunrise, Qantas Airways plans to launch the first nonstop commercial flight from New York to Sydney by mid-2028. Texas Governor Greg Abbott has halted the state's permits for data centres until an audit can be performed to assess the impact of the projects on the water and power grid. The federal judge dismissed Michigan's antitrust lawsuit against four major oil firms, rejecting the claims that they?increased costs for residents by suppressing...the development of renewable energies and information regarding global warming risks.
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Ninepoint ignores political rhetoric and launches ETF focused on the energy interdependence between US and Canada
Ninepoint Capital, a Canadian asset manager, is challenging the economic nationalism of both the United States and Canada as well as the trade war that has been escalating between them by launching an exchange-traded funds on Tuesday. The fund will highlight the interdependence in energy between the two countries. Ninepoint North American Energy Independence ETF, the Toronto-based firm's first ETF to be listed in America, is designed to provide cross-border exposure for an investment theme Ninepoint coCEO John Wilson stated pre-dated any individual politician and will outlast them. Wilson said it would be "naive" to believe that headlines will disappear in the next couple of years. He added that it would be shortsighted to ignore the degree to which energy industries are already intertwined in both countries, especially at a moment when AI is driving demand for more and reliable sources of electricity. This translates to a heightened demand for natural gas, uranium and strategic minerals such as nickel that are used in the battery industry. According to the Canada Energy Regulator (CER), more than 90% Canadian crude oil exports are bound for US markets. Many US refineries are heavily dependent on Canadian heavy crude. CER reported that approximately 85% of Canadian energy production is exported. Canada is also working to diversify energy exports, both through a growing LNG sector that targets Asian customers and through the Trans Mountain pipeline which transports Canadian heavy oil from the west coast of British Columbia for export overseas. Wilson points out that this will not have a dramatic impact on the level of integration in the near future. Conflict with Iran has highlighted the need for "friendly" crude oil sources. The resultant near-total closure of Strait of Hormuz shipping lanes is a major factor. Data centers, which are required by AI hyperscalers, will require more electricity, most of it generated from natural gas. Wilson continued, "A lot of these technologies would not exist to invest in without the?supply of Canadian raw materials." The ETF's investment will be in 50 or more stocks in the US, Canada, and Mexico. The exact balance is determined by the opportunities. Wilson calculates that two-thirds (or about 67%) of the oil and natural gas producers it will invest in are based in the US. Canadian pipeline companies, mining enterprises, and companies producing uranium and copper, which are needed to electrify North America's economy, will also make up the majority of these?assets. Ninepoint offers several other Canadian ETFs that offer simple?equity-based portfolios as well as options-based products. Ninepoint's other funds, including private credit offerings, have been struggling with funding shortages in recent years. This forced Ninepoint to suspend redemptions. Wilson stated that Ninepoint has replaced cash distributions by additional units in order to provide liquidity and value to investors. To date, these funds have paid about $225,000,000 in redemptions.
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Sources say that Iraq has suspended Iranian flights from Baghdad due to US sanctions threats
Two sources said that Iraq had ordered its civil aviation authority to suspend Iranian flights to Baghdad Airport starting on Wednesday. This was after the United States threatened to sanction any airport which services Iranian carriers. US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent announced on Monday that secondary sanctions against air?services companies would shut down all Iranian airlines on September 23, seven months after the start of the war between Iran and the United States. Two sources with knowledge of the situation said that the Iraqi government was considering diverting Iranian Airways flights from Baghdad airport to Najaf. Two sources familiar with the matter said they spoke on condition of anonymity due to the sensitive nature of the issue. The suspension of flights will start at midnight on Wednesday. Iranian news agency Tasnim reported earlier, citing Iranian Civil Aviation Organization that flights between Tehran and Baghdad, Muscat, and other international destinations will be canceled beginning Wednesday. All?remaining flights, including Istanbul, will continue to operate as scheduled. A spokesperson for Iran’s Civil Aviation Organization said that Iranian travelers were not being admitted at the Oman airport. Consultations are ongoing regarding this matter. Bessent said to CNBC that if Iranian?airlines land in an airport "you can't provide them with fuel or landing services. You also can't sell them tickets. Or you will be kicked out of the Dollar system."
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US wants to spend another $30 billion on aviation systems
Sean Duffy, the US Transportation Secretary, said that he would ask Congress for another $30 billion to upgrade airport facilities and air traffic control towers. Duffy, who has sought billions of dollars more and demanded another $10 billion on Tuesday for airports, is adamant that Congress approves $12.5 billion over five-years in June 2025. Duffy, in a speech delivered in Washington, said: "We're going to ask Congress for 30 billion dollars." "We need to consider how the country has evolved and what the needs are at airports." A major 'telecom failure' on Monday paralyzed the traffic along the east coast for several hours, and disrupted thousands flights. Around $10 billion in funding is being sought to replace old air traffic towers, and another $10 billion for telecom systems and other technology used for air navigation control. The FAA has begun using a new software system that utilizes predictive analytics in order to improve the management of flights. Last week, a government report?said that Congress?needs more money to complete the first phase of air traffic control?program. It also said that the FAA?needs a?better estimate?of how much it will cost to run the new system. According to the report, the cost of telecommunications upgrades jumped from $4.75 billion to $5.91 trillion. FAA Administrator Bryan Bedford stated that outdated copper wires for telecoms should be replaced by September 2027.
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Trump arch drone plan needs FAA review, lawmaker says
A Democratic lawmaker stated on Tuesday that the Federal Aviation Administration would need to perform a safety analysis of President Donald Trump's plans to base military drones near his proposed triumphal arch, which is located near a Washington airport. Don Beyer, a US Representative from Virginia, said that Trump's plan for a large number drones to be placed at 76-meter arch (250-foot) near Reagan Washington National Airport could threaten aviation safety. He described the idea as "stupid and dangerous." Trump said on Sunday, at the request from the military that he would turn the arch into a complex military capable of deploying drones or positioning snipers. Last week, the FAA declared the structure safe for aircraft operations. However, this review did not include drone operations. The FAA did not comment immediately on Tuesday. It said last week that the arch wouldn't?pose any danger to aircraft, as long as it is topped by an "eternal fire." According to the FAA's decision last week, the arch must be marked by a floodlight projected onto it and a light placed on the top of the arch. This will make the arch visible to pilots. Aviation experts have raised safety concerns due to its proximity to airport's main departure and approach corridor. The arch is part a broader 'effort to remake Washington' by Trump, which includes renovating the Lincoln Memorial Reflecting Pool and redeveloping a?golf course?in East Potomac Park. He also wants to add his name to the John F. Kennedy Center for the Performing Arts. Preservationists say the projects will alter some of Washington's most prominent historic landmarks. Veterans have sued the government to stop the construction of the arch. They claim it will destroy the historic view between the Lincoln Memorial and the Arlington National Cemetery. The FAA has dropped a requirement for red obstruction lights that it had previously mandated on buildings over 200 feet (61 meters), such as the Washington Monument, which is 555 feet (169 meters) away from airports.
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Saudi Arabia denies purchasing oil tankers after Iraq accuses it of higher shipping costs
Saudi Arabia denied Iraqi claims that it had purchased 25 oil tankers. It said the information was incorrect, after Iraq linked a sharp increase in the cost of shipping crude to the alleged purchases. Basim Mohammed, Iraq's Oil Minister, told a session of the parliament that Saudi Arabia purchased 25 oil tankers for an estimated $4.5billion. He said these purchases had led to a sharp rise in the cost?of transporting Iraqi crude oil. On Monday, his remarks were posted by an Iraqi media outlet to Facebook. Mohammed claimed that transport costs had risen from 26 dollars per barrel to 37 dollars per barrel. Saudi Arabia and Iraq are two of the largest oil producers in the Organization for the Petroleum Exporting Countries. Rarely is there a public disagreement between their energy ministers. Saudi Arabia's Energy Ministry said in a statement that it did not purchase the tankers. It attributed the increase in oil transportation costs to a number of factors, such as regional military conflict, and disruptions to navigation through the Strait of Hormuz. The company said that these conditions had driven shipping costs to "exceptional" levels in the region. The dispute comes as the attacks on Saudi cities and energy infrastructure continue, raising concerns about global oil supply and threatening to disrupt the Red Sea - a major alternative export route for Gulf producers - while traffic through Strait of Hormuz is still disrupted. Iraq is one of the most affected countries by the closing?of this strategic waterway. Traffic through the strait is well below pre-conflict numbers and vessels are still facing attacks.
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Saudi Aramco is planning a reorganisation that will create a gas division, according to sources.
Two?sources who are familiar with the matter said that the Saudi?oil company Aramco is planning to reorganise their business in order to create a gas division, with the intention of listing business units to raise capital. This is consistent with the existing strategy of Gulf oil companies to 'offer outside investors pieces of their business while maintaining operational control, and largely avoid opening up their main oil producing divisions. ADNOC, the state oil company of the United Arab Emirates (UAE), has listed stakes in its gas, drilling, and retail fuel businesses. Aramco has a public listing, but it also lists subsidiaries like the petrochemicals company SABIC. Both ADNOC as well as Aramco have raised billions from infrastructure assets like oil and gas pipelines. Aramco has declined to comment. The new gas business will allow Aramco a platform to develop their natural gas resources in the domestic market and to build a portfolio of liquefied natural gas (LNG). Aramco has been seeking outside capital to help support the Kingdom's efforts to reduce its dependence on oil.
After the Iran conflict, crude oil imports to Asia hit a high in September but remain weak
Even with the increase, imports of crude oils in Asia were still 13% lower than pre-conflict.
According to data compiled and analyzed by commodity analysts,?Kpler, the world's largest oil-consuming region, is on course to import 23,96 million barrels of crude oil per day in September. This represents an increase from August's 23.38 millions bpd, which was also the highest since February.
Kpler has recorded a trend of increasing crude imports in Asia since April, when they were at their lowest level in over 10 years.
The average oil imports for the three-month period ended in February was 27,55 million barrels per day.
On February 28, the United States and Israel began an aerial bombardment and missile campaign against Iran, resulting in Tehran's threat to shipping through the Strait of Hormuz. This narrow waterway carried around 20% of the global crude and refined product prior to the beginning of the war.
The strait is still contested, with Iran striking vessels from time to time and the US Navy trying to ensure the safe passage of tankers coming from Gulf exporters like Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates?and Iraq.
There has been some disagreement over the exact volume of oil that leaves the Strait of Hormuz, and Saudi Arabia's Yanbu Port on the Red Sea. US Energy Secretary Chris Wright claimed on several occasions that up to 15 million barrels per day (bpd) were leaving the Middle East. However, tanker tracking services reported lower levels.
The crude oil imports from the Middle East are primarily destined for?Asia, with smaller amounts going to Africa, Europe, and North America.
If Wright's claims are true, and 15 million barrels per day have left the Middle East, as he claimed in early August, this oil should have reached ports throughout Asia by the end of September.
According to Kpler's data, Asia's Middle East imports were 12,56 million bpd during September. This is up from 11,66 million in August, and over 5 million bpd higher than the low post-conflict of 7,12 million in April.
The September estimate, however, is still 3.53 million bpd less than the average of 16.09 million for the three months preceding the conflict.
While there are some facts that support Wright's claim, it is important to note that Asia still receives significantly less crude oil from the Middle East than before US President Donald Trump launched his war against Iran.
Wright claimed that 15 million barrels per day of oil were exported. However, even with this estimate, the exports are still 3 million barrels a day below pre-war levels.
The situation, in other words, is worse now than before the beginning of the conflict, despite all the efforts of US Navy to keep the Strait of Hormuz opened and the risks taken by oil companies and shippers, traders and crews to cross the Strait.
Saudi Arabia's East-West Oil Pipeline was closed recently after an alleged strike from Iraq. This will result in lower Middle East imports for October. However, they could recover by November once the pipeline is repaired and operating again.
The crude oil?flows to Asia, which are still restricted, continue to be reflected in the flows of refined products.
Like crude oil, Asia's imports for light and middle distillates also showed a slight recovery in September, but are still well below their pre-conflict level.
Kpler data shows that a total of 5.84 millions bpd light and middle distillates is expected to arrive in Asian ports by September. This is up from 5.25million bpd last month, but it's still over 1 million below the 7.06million bpd produced in the three-month period leading up to conflict.
Due to the weakness of refined fuel imports, diesel, jet fuel and gasoil prices remain near record highs compared with global crude benchmarks like Brent futures.
On 'Wednesday', the front-month contract traded around $99 per barrel in Asia, while Singapore gasoil – a building block of diesel – was $173.84 per barrel, and gasoline was $139.60.
Prior to the Iran War, the price premium of these fuels was typically between $10 and 20 per barrel.
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(source: Reuters)