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Thailand's PTTEP claims that every $3 increase in LNG price could raise Thai power prices by up to 5%

The Gastech conference heard from the new chief executive of Thai energy firm PTTEP that every $3 increase in liquefied?gas price could increase Thai electricity rates by 5%.

Kanita Sartwattayu said that if the price of gas is not reduced, it would be hard for Thailand to supply and maintain the gas. Thailand depends on LNG for 30 percent of its electricity generation.

"In 10 years time, we will probably be relying on LNG 70% of the time if nothing changes. We are trying to "maintain domestic gas production as much as we can."

Gas consumption is met by a combination of?gas from pipelines, gas produced domestically and LNG imported.

She added that Thailand still has a number of marginal gasfields to develop.

Government data from the six-month period ending June shows that gas accounts for more than 60% of Thailand's electricity generation.

According to the energy think tank IEEFA, more than a quarter (25%) of gas used in electricity production is imported.

Kpler data show that Thailand buys about half of its LNG on spot markets, which makes it vulnerable to shocks like the recent surge in LNG price after Israel and the U.S. began their war against Iran six months back.

Tanya George, BMI analyst, says that Thailand is expected to become more dependent on LNG imports, as the domestic gas production declines, and pipeline gas imports are becoming less certain.

She said that major fields like Erawan and Bongkot, as well as the Malaysia-Thailand Joint Development Area were maturing.

George said that while there was some upside potential in the new exploration of PTTEP and Chevron's part, "no major discoveries have yet been confirmed." The broader trend, therefore, still indicates a declining domestic supply.

(source: Reuters)