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Maersk increases profit forecast on global container volume growth

Shipping group A.P. Moller-Maersk raised its core profit forecast for the full year on Thursday, helped by an increase in container volumes, driven by shipments mainly from China. This was despite lower freight costs.

Maersk is widely considered a bellwether of global trade. It now expects container volumes to increase by 4% in this year. This is up from the previous forecast range, which was 2% to 4 %, issued in August. In the third quarter 2025, the global container demand will grow between 3% to 5% on an annual basis, despite disruptions, the company stated in a press release. Exports from Far East Asia and China continue to be the primary driver of volume growth.

The company reported that imports from Europe, Africa and Latin America were strong, but container volumes to North America decreased, especially in shipments to the United States from China.

The company now expects to earn underlying earnings before tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) between $9 billion and 9.5 billion this year, compared with its previous guidance, which was $8 billion to 9.5 billion.

Maersk reported that EBITDA dropped 44% on an annual basis in the third quarter, to $2.69 Billion. This was above the $2.58 Billion expected by analysts in the poll conducted by the company.

Analysts had predicted $13.8 billion, but revenue fell 10% to $14.2 billion.

The company has also stated that the disruptions at the Red Sea will continue throughout the entire year. Maersk had previously said it would resume transit in the region only when a viable and long-term security solution was established.

(source: Reuters)