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The third quarter of 2018 was both one of the best and worst in recent M&A history.

The third quarter of recent history was both one of best and worst for dealmakers around the world. According to Dealogic, megadeals generated a staggering $1.26 trillion worth of global mergers and purchases during the third-quarter - an increase of 40% over the previous year. This was the second best third-quarter ever by deal value. Data show that only 8,912 transactions were completed, down 16% on last year. This is the lowest third-quarter deal volume for 20 years. Dealmakers are in a strange situation, as they had high hopes for 2025 following the election of Donald Trump. Trump's punishing Tariffs, which were unveiled on Liberation Day, and a continuing antitrust crackdown against Big Tech sent the markets soaring in the second quarter. Many corporations delayed M&A plans and IPOs while trade negotiations were ongoing.

In recent months, a combination of pent-up demand from companies and new stock market highs has sparked a flurry big deals and IPOs that have saved an otherwise dormant year for the industry. Data show that fewer deals are being signed but the average deal size increased to $141.4m in the third quarter. This is up from $85.5m at the same time last.

In an interview, Naveen Nataraj said that as the year progressed there was a growing confidence that the tariff landscape would be in a place where people could navigate. Several large, high-profile initial public offerings, such as StubHub’s $800m IPO, and the buy-now, pay-later fintech firm Klarna’s $1.37bn trading debut, were pulled by April. This helped to revive the IPO markets earlier this month. 987 companies have raised $115 billion through their IPOs around the globe, a 24% drop compared to the same period in 2017.

Some IPOs in Europe are being done again. Martin Thorneycroft is the global co-head for equity capital markets at Morgan Stanley. He said that the relatively low IPO issuance since September of last year was primarily because we had not seen large-cap, high-quality companies come to market. But now, we are beginning to see this. CHINA DELISTING THREATENS IN THE US IPOs in Asia and second listings were especially hot. This was particularly true on the Hong Stock Exchange, where on Tuesday the Chinese company Zijin Gold International raised $3.2 billion in its debut. Data from Dealogic shows that companies have raised $23 billion so far in Hong Kong this year. This is more than three-times the amount of money raised in the same period of 2024.

David Bauer, JPMorgan's co-head for equity capital markets in the Americas, stated that the bank will launch at least a dozen or more IPOs before Thanksgiving. PE firms have also started to launch more IPOs. Bauer stated that "Deals work, investors make money, and the backlog of deals is growing." CRYPTO AND AI BOOM Crypto companies, and anything related to them, helped fuel the IPO boom in September. The industry benefited from Trump's easing up of regulations in the U.S. In its debut on September 10, stable coin issuer, Figure, raised $787.5 in an IPO which was both oversubscribed and increased in size. M&A deals and IPOs were dominated by anything related to AI, be it software, infrastructure, or chips. Dealogic didn't include the $100 billion investment by Nvidia in OpenAI in its league tables. However, other deals, such as CyberArk Software acquiring Palo Alto Networks for $24,5 billion in July, were included. Palo Alto Networks uses AI technology to provide cloud and network security. Camila Panama, an M&A partner at Mayer Brown, said that almost every client, regardless of their industry, is considering AI as part of their M&A strategies. M&A: GOING FOR SCALE

The cross-border M&A market is also on the rise, with a 44% increase to $931 billion. This is the largest jump since 2021 and a record high.

Dealmakers claim that companies are aiming for scale. Dealmakers say that smaller deals below $500 million are not attracting the attention of shareholders anymore. Data show that 49 deals have been done over $10 billion this year, up 75% compared to the first nine month of last year. The $55 billion leveraged purchase of Electronic Arts on Monday was the largest deal in the third quarter. But it wasn't the only one. According to Dealogic, the largest deal of the quarter was Union Pacific's $88.18 Billion acquisition of Norfolk Southern in July.

(source: Reuters)