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Asian area LNG falls on muted demand, strong inventories

Asian spot liquefied natural gas (LNG) rates fell this week amid weak need and the availability of more supply in the spot market.

The average LNG price for January delivery into north-east Asia << LNG-AS > was at $14.50 per million British thermal units ( mmBtu), down from $15.00/ mmBtu last week, industry sources approximated.

The price for February shipment was approximated even lower at $ 13.50/ mmBtu, the sources said.

Rates in Asia have actually continued to move due to weak demand, combined with sufficient storage, and exacerbated by majors using out for prompt into Q1 freights. We're most likely to see further dips as the winter season has been reasonably moderate, stated Toby Copson, an independent LNG specialist.

Samuel Good, head of LNG prices at Argus, stated that acquiring interest across Asia more broadly has actually deteriorated in the face of current greater prices. There has actually likewise been more supply provided on the area market both from the Asia-Pacific and also the Atlantic as sellers in the basin look to Asia amid weaker European need.

In Europe, gas rates have fallen nearly 9% over the week on a sell-off in net long positions by investment funds and milder weather forecasts reducing heating demand.

Incremental revisions to weather report for north-west Europe over the rest of this month have taxed heating need expectations, assisting to relieve issues for the region's quick underground gas storage withdrawals in recent weeks, which would need to be made up once again next summertime, Excellent stated.

EU gas storage inventories are presently around 80.16% full, data from Gas Facilities Europe showed, down from 91% at the very same time last year and listed below the 5-year average of 83%.

The question now is at what levels stocks will be at completion of the winter season and whether there will suffice time to reconstruct before the next winter season, said Hans Van Cleef, chief energy economist at PZ - Energy.

The fact is that the forward curve remains in contango (where. the LNG futures cost is greater than the spot rate) leaves no. incentive to start buying gas in the summer for storage and. use in winter season 25-26. This could result in even more upward cost. pressure in the course of next year, Van Cleef stated.

S&P Global Commodity Insights examined its everyday North West. Europe LNG Marker (NWM) price benchmark for cargoes provided in. January on an ex-ship (DES) basis at $12.962/ mmBtu on Dec. 12, a. $ 0.14/ mmBtu discount to the January gas cost at the Dutch TTF. hub.

Argus assessed the price at $12.900/ mmBtu, while Glow. Products examined it at $12.914/ mmBtu.

The U.S. arbitrage to north-east Asia through the Panama Canal. is presently closed, signalling U.S. freights are incentivised to. provide to north-west Europe, stated Spark Commodities analyst. Qasim Afghan.

In LNG freight, Atlantic rates increased for the 3rd week. running to $22,750/ day on Friday, while Pacific rates was up to. $ 21,250/ day, Afghan added.

(source: Reuters)