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The Asian spot price of GLOBAL LNG has fallen to a near-year low due to weak demand and recession concerns

The Asian spot price of liquefied gas (LNG), which is a product of the United States, fell to its lowest level in almost a year, due to weak demand, excessive stocks, and fears of a global economic recession caused by President Trump's tariffs.

Average LNG price for delivery to North-east Asia in May Industry sources estimate that the price per million British Thermal Units (mmBtu) was $11,80, its lowest level since mid May.

Estimated June delivery prices were $11,30/mmBtu.

The price of Asian LNG is under pressure due to a weak seasonal demand and high inventories, as well as recession fears linked to the elevated U.S. China trade tensions, said Kpler analyst Go Katayama. He was referring to stocks in Japan and Korea.

The 90-day tariff suspension by the U.S. may have sparked some optimism, but it's limited. And the continued tariffs against Chinese goods keep the market cautious, according to him.

Restocking in Northeast Asia is subdued. It's unlikely that it will pick up until prices fall below $12/mmBtu, or unless weather forecasts become hotter.

Trump's tariffs on dozens countries have roiled the global markets, causing concerns about a possible recession and escalating tensions between China and America.

As a result of the tariffs, LNG importers are reselling cargoes sourced from the United States.

Wei Xiong, a Rystad analyst, says that China's halt on U.S. LNG exports will likely continue. However, a muted growth in gas demand will limit the incremental LNG demand.

She said that "the ongoing trade tensions, and higher tariffs, may increase the downside of the industrial sector as the export economy will likely slow down."

S&P Global Commodity Insights, a commodity research firm in Europe, assessed the daily North West Europe (NWM) LNG Marker price benchmark on April 10 at $10.127/mmBtu for cargoes to be delivered by May ex-ship. This represents a discount of $0.805/mmBtu compared to the gas price at Dutch TTF hub.

Spark Commodities set the price at $10.184/mmBtu for delivery in May, while Argus put it at $10.195/mmBtu.

Angola LNG sold a cargo to France rather than Asia, despite the closure of the inter-basin west African arbitrage holding.

According to Spark Commodities analyst Qasim Afghanistan, amid U.S. Tariff announcements on Monday, the U.S. Front Month Arbitrage to North-East Asia via Cape of Good Hope briefly achieved breakeven levels, before closing and pointing back to Europe.

He added that in LNG freight, Atlantic rates had dropped for the third consecutive week, to $22,500/day, on Friday. Pacific rates were down to $24,750/day. (Reporting and editing by Shailesh Kumar)

(source: Reuters)