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Asian spot prices remain at a 1-year low amid supply disruptions

The Asian spot LNG prices remain at an all-time low, following supply disruptions in three export facilities. Some buying interest has also been seen to help offset the overall lackluster demand.

Average LNG price for delivery to North-East Asia in June Industry sources estimate that the price of a million British thermal unit (mmBtu) was $11,50, down from $11,80/mmBtu a week ago but still its lowest level since mid-May.

"Lower Asian gas prices this week encouraged opportunistic purchases by some East Asian importers while supply disruptions in Australia and Brunei supported otherwise falling regional fundamentals," stated Rystad senior analysts Masanori Odaka. He added that Korea Gas Corporation of Taiwan, CPC Corporation of China and a Chinese buyer had made recent spot purchases.

While some Asian importers took the opportunity to buy at a discount, others waited and watched as they assessed turbulent market conditions while maintaining sufficient storage levels.

Inpex Corp., the company that operates Australia's Ichthys LNG plant, has said the rate at which production is being carried out temporarily decreased, but did not specify why or when it would be restored to full production.

Sources in Southeast Asia said that the Bintulu LNG plant and the Brunei LNG facility were both experiencing production problems. Brunei LNG cancelled a tender it issued for a cargo delivered in June.

Martin Senior, director of LNG pricing for commodities pricing agency Argus, said that despite production outages in Pacific, the interbasin arbitrage remained closed to ensure prompt deliveries. Only one carrier diverted in mid-Atlantic toward Asia on 16 April.

Since the production interruptions, he stated that "Asian buyers" have not made any significant moves to compete for Atlantic Basin cargoes.

S&P Global Commodity Insights, a commodity research firm in Europe, assessed the daily North West Europe (NWM) LNG Marker price benchmark on April 16 at $11.124/mmBtu. This is a $0.735/mmBtu reduction from the June gas prices at the Dutch TTF Hub.

Spark Commodities set the price of the June delivery at $10.94/mmBtu. Argus, on the other hand, put the price for May at $10.945/mmBtu.

Senior said that "discounts for the TTF in May remain $0.20/mmBtu higher than in June, due to maintenance on regasification terminals in Northwest Europe in May, which has forced buyers to look for regasification slots at more expensive terminals or terminals delivering fuel to hubs with lower prices than the TTF."

According to Spark Commodities analyst Qasim Afghanistan, the U.S. forward month arbitrage for north-east Asia through the Cape of Good Hope now points only marginally to Europe.

He added that in LNG freight, Atlantic rates have dropped for the fourth consecutive week, to $21,750/day, on Thursday. Pacific rates, meanwhile, are now at $23,250/day. Emily Chow reported on this story.

(source: Reuters)