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Ireland faces a'very serious' situation because of protestor fuel blockades.
On Friday, protesters in Ireland demanded government action over surging fuel prices. They used tractors and truck to block a port, fuel depot and oil refinery. The prime minister was forced to warn that the country might have to turn fuel deliveries away. Micheal Martin, who spoke on Friday, said that the blockades of Irish oil pipelines, which were triggered by the more than 20 percent increase in diesel prices following the U.S./Iran war, will cause serious economic damage. Fuels for Ireland, an industry?group, said that more than 100 petrol?stations had run out of fuel. "The situation is extremely severe right now." In an interview with RTE, Martin said that he didn't believe people were aware of the severity of the situation. He said that "we are on the brink of turning oil from the country," citing a problem with a tanker at Galway Port, and the halting of refining operations at the Whitegate Oil Refinery near Cork. It is unconscionable. It is illogical. It is hard to understand. Martin stated that the police and the army were ready to assist in clearing the protests, if needed. He also said "clearly the law will be enforced." Martin called for dialogue in order to resolve the issue. DPD, a delivery firm, said that it would suspend services in Ireland due to protests on Saturday. Last month, the government announced a package worth 250 million euros ($293.2 millions) to temporarily reduce taxes on petrol and diesel in order to offset the cost of the Middle East war. However, protesters are calling for more drastic measures, such as a price ceiling.
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Tel Aviv stocks reach record highs as truce hopes spur Tel Aviv's shares to hit a 1995 peak against the dollar.
Tel Aviv's share indexes reached all-time peaks - and the Israeli shekel rose - to a 30-year high - against the dollar on Friday, on the apparent hope that the U.S.-Iran talks scheduled for Saturday would maintain a ceasefire. The blue-chip Tel Aviv index and the broader TA-125 closed higher by 1.9%, extending to over 6% gains since the U.S. and Israel led air war began in February '28. The?shekel rose 0.7% against the dollar, reaching a rate 3.031 - its highest level since October 1995. Israel and Hezbollah traded fire in Lebanon, and the Strait of Hormuz was closed. The U.S. and Iran will meet in Islamabad on Saturday to try to reach a deal, including the reopening of the strait.
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Airports warn that Europe could be facing a jet fuel shortage within weeks
The European airport industry has warned of a possible systemic shortage of jet fuel in just three weeks, if the Strait of Hormuz does not open up. They have called for urgent EU-wide actions to secure supplies ahead the summer peak travel season. Airports Council International Europe, in a letter dated April 9 to the European Commission (ACI), said that a fuel shortage would "significantly hurt the European economy" and compound the macroeconomic effects of the rising oil prices caused by the Middle East conflict. Financial Times was the first publication to cover this letter. The Commission didn't immediately respond to an?ask for comment. According to ACI's study, data from up until 2019 shows that air connectivity is responsible for 851 billion euro ($997.03billion) of gross domestic product in Europe. Airports also handle 26% of Europe’s exports. ACI's Olivier Jankovec, the director general of ACI, wrote in a letter that despite a meeting held by the European Commission oil coordination group last week, there is currently no EU-wide mapping or assessment of jet fuel availability and production. The Commission was asked to map jet fuel availability and demand, to identify alternative sources of import, to assess the threats to intra-EU fuel flow, and to evaluate commercial and strategic reserve levels. In recent weeks, jet fuel prices have doubled from $150 to $200 a barrel. This is a major financial blow to an industry where fuel can account for as much as a quarter or more of its operating costs. The letter also called for a series of immediate policies interventions, such as the lifting of temporary import restrictions on jet-fuel, specifically those imposed by the new EU methane regulation that will be in force from January 2027. Jankovec said that the rules have already discouraged third-country sellers of fuel from signing contracts this summer. The group also suggested that the EU purchase 'jet fuel collectively and impose refinery obligations on specific refineries to safeguard production. It also recommended including airports, airlines, and ground handlers as recipients of state aids.
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Early April, Russia increases oil exports through western ports despite drone attacks
Trading and port sources reported that Russia's crude exports increased in early April, compared to March. Calculations also showed this, despite the disruptions to loadings caused by drone attacks on energy infrastructure. In late March, Ukraine increased drone attacks against Russian oil export ports on the Baltic Sea, Black Sea, and major Russian refineries. This could lead to the state cutting its crude production due to disruptions in supply chains. Three trading sources and port sources reported that the Baltic ports of Primorsk, Ust-Luga and Novorossiisk loaded a total of about 2 million barrels of crude oil per day in the first seven days of April. This compares to a daily average of around 1.9 million barrels in March. Sources claim that Primorsk was the main source of the loadings. The city had been hit by a UAV attack late in March but resumed loadings soon after. After a drone strike on March 25, oil loadings were stopped at Ust-Luga. They resumed only?April 6 leaving very little oil at the beginning of the month. After a suspension of four days due to a drone strike, Russia's Black Sea Port?Novorossiisk re-started fuel and oil loadings at its Sheskharis terminal late Thursday. Sources said that a sudden increase in Primorsk loadings?in April and high export volumes from Novorossiisk in the first few days of the month before a drone strike have helped to offset the Black Sea exports halt. The Sheskharis Terminal was the target of a major drone attack in early March. This led to a five day halt on crude loading and delays with exports. (Reporting and Editing by Emelia Matarise Sithole)
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City Airlines strikes pay deal as Lufthansa strikes, disrupting tens thousands of passengers
Cabin crew from 'Lufthansa' and its regional unit Lufthansa CityLine went on strike for a full day, while Lufthansa City Airlines signed its first contract. The union UFO organized the industrial action, which will run from midnight to 10:00 pm (2000 GMT). Fraport, operator of Frankfurt Airport said on Friday morning that 580 flights had been cancelled. This affected 72,000 passengers, out of the 1,350 scheduled flights, and the 155,000 'passengers' expected for the day. Fraport said that the figures are for all airlines at the airport and not just Lufthansa. They may change throughout the day. CITY AIRLINES SHARPLY CONTRASTS WITH OTHER AIRLINES CityLine cabin staff walked out in nine airports, while the Lufthansa strike affected both Frankfurt and Munich, its major hubs. Jens Ritter, the brand chief of Lufthansa, criticized the strike as being "completely out of proportion." UFO negotiators claimed that escalation is inevitable due to the stalled talks. The walkout is in stark contrast to the developments at Lufthansa's newest subsidiary, City Airlines. There, Verdi, a rival union, secured the first collective wage agreement for 500 cabin and cockpit staff. Verdi stated that the deal reached last week after marathon talks will increase basic salaries between 20% and 35 % in three stages until March 2029. It also includes additional days off, more vacation, improved rostering, and expanded pension support. Impact of?Low-Cost Competition The differing?fortunes between the two subsidiaries are a reflection of a wider restructuring within the Lufthansa group. CityLine has historically handled short-haul flights and long-haul routes in Europe. CityLine's feeder operations will be transferred to City Airlines. City Airlines was founded in 2022 as an alternative cost-effective solution for the growing competition in Europe's Aviation Industry. CityLine staff are angry about the closure plan, as they fear losing their jobs and an uncertain future. (Reporting and writing by Klaus Lauer, Kirsti Knolle, Miranda Murray and David Holmes).
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Gains in UAE stocks ahead of US-Iran talks
As U.S.-Iran talks begin in Pakistan, and Israel is seeking to talk with Lebanon, the equity markets of the United Arab Emirates rose a little on Friday. This raised hopes for an easing of Middle East tensions and a reduction of the risk of disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz. On Saturday, delegates from Washington and Tehran will hold talks in Pakistan. Benjamin Netanyahu, Israeli Prime Minister, said on Thursday that he was'seeking direct discussions with Beirut. A day after the worst bombing of the war in Lebanon killed more than 300 and put Donald?Trump’s U.S. Iran ceasefire at risk. Dubai's main stock market recovered from early losses to close 0.4% higher. This was aided by gains in financial and industrial stocks. Air Arabia, a low-cost carrier, jumped 4.8% while Emirates NBD Bank, the largest lender in the UAE, climbed 3.4%. Abu Dhabi's benchmark stock index rose 0.02%, boosted by gains of 4.1% in the hypermarket operator Lulu Retail Holdings and 3.9% in Dana Gas. The?index's gains were hampered by a decline of 3.1% in Aldar Properties, the UAE's largest real estate firm. Due to the Iran crisis, Dubai has limited foreign airlines to only one flight per day to its airports. This has caused Indian carriers to be concerned about revenue losses, as they had more flights planned than any other airline. According to LSEG, the Dubai index grew by 4.2%, its biggest weekly gain in over ten months. Abu Dhabi also posted a 2.5% weekly increase.
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Turkish Airlines replaces its CEO and Chairman, but withholds dividends citing geopolitical risk
Turkish Airlines underwent a major management revamp, replacing its CEO and Chairman, while also opting not to pay dividends from earnings in 2025, citing increased uncertainty across the operating environment, as well as geopolitical instability. Ahmet Olmustur has been named CEO of Turkey's airline following the retirement from Bilal Eksi, who was previously Chief Commercial Officer. Turkish Airlines announced to the Public Disclosure Platform that Murat Seker, the new chairman of the board who replaces Ahmet Bolat (who resigned), was named. Changes are being made as the aviation industry struggles with fuel prices that fluctuate, capacity constraints and persistent disruptions caused by conflicts in the Middle East. The board appointed Metin Gulsen as the 'chief financial officer'. Harun Basturk was previously a senior vice-president for regional sales and had been named senior vice-president of accounting. The airline announced in a separate statement that it would not distribute any dividends from its net profit of 2.65 billion dollars ($118.2 billion) for 2025. Instead, they will retain the earnings to conserve cash. The company stated that the decision was made because it believed that maintaining a solid cash position would better serve the long-term interest of shareholders given the current war in the Middle East and the uncertainty this brings. Turkish Airlines has been paying out dividends to its shareholders for the past few years. The last time Turkish Airlines did not pay a dividend was in 2023. In 2025, it approved a cash payout of?6.88 Lira ($0.1540), per share from its 2024 profits. Turkish Airlines shares rose 1.1%, while Turkey's BIST 100 index grew 1.37%
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Sources say that the Black Sea port of Novorossiysk has partially resumed oil and fuel loadings following a drone attack.
Two sources familiar with port operations said that Russia's Black Sea Port?of Novorossiysk?partially resumed oil and fuel loadings? from its Sheskharis Terminal?later?on Thursday? after this week's suspension due to a drone strike. Sheskharis, Russia's largest oil terminal with a capacity to load 700,000 barrels of crude oil per day, suspended oil loadings Monday following a Ukrainian drone attack that started fires in a fuel terminal and at some berths. Oil tanker loading resumed on one berth and only a single cargo of about 80,000 tons is expected to leave Friday. After the strikes, the oil loading schedule would?be trimmed?and it was not clear when the port's full operation could resume. Sources confirm that Novorossiysk resumed oil and fuel loadings as well on Thursday. One of the sources stated that a?diesel?load was also made from?the?port this week.
Jet fuel prices are on the rise, and airlines have failed to implement hedging strategies.
As a sharp increase in oil prices shakes the global transport market, airlines are facing an additional threat. The price of jet fuel has risen much faster than crude oil prices.
Airlines that use hedging contracts in order to protect themselves from sudden increases in oil 'prices' are announcing fare increases, fuel surcharges, and capacity reductions as they struggle with the unprecedented increase in refining profits since the U.S. - Israel war on Iran. Jet fuel
WINNERS & LOSSES
The major?carriers of the U.S., China, and other countries have no hedging agreements in place. This leaves them exposed to sudden increases in fuel prices, which, according to aviation expert Hans Joergen Elnaes, historically tend to remain high for several months during times of unrest, such as the Middle East Crisis.
Low-cost carriers have historically carried the most price-sensitive clients. "They're the ones who get squeezed most in this climate," said?Nathan Gee. Bank of America's Asia Pacific Transportation Research head.
Hedging is a two-edged weapon. Hedging is a double-edged sword. It can protect airlines from fuel price spikes by using derivative contracts. However, it also exposes carriers to higher rates when the prices drop, which has led some carriers into financial trouble in the past. According to J.P. Morgan in Europe, where hedging contracts are common, a sustained increase of 10% in jet fuel costs could reduce Wizz Air’s operating profit this year by up to 31%.
Wizz, who reported a 50-million euro ($57.74-million) hit due to the Middle Eastern conflict has hedged 83% (through March) of its jet fuel requirements, but only 55% through the end of the year in March 2027. Jozsef Varradi, its CEO, said last week that it was "not naked" and well-protected.
Jet fuel was about $21 higher per barrel in Asia than before the conflict. However, the refining margin increased to $144 by March 4, and remained high, at $65 on Wednesday.
Gee, from BofA, said: "That is what happened last week?and everyone was less protected."
Air New Zealand, Australia's Qantas Airways and Virgin Australia do not fly to the Middle East. They are also more than 80% hedged for crude oil in the half year ending June. However, they have already raised fares to protect their margins.
BofA estimated that Asian airlines' net profits in 2026 could fall by an average of 6 percent for every $10 increase per barrel in the refining margins over 90 days.
Analysts said that many Asian airlines hedged only against Brent oil prices or did not hedge at all. Singapore Airlines and Virgin Australia were the exceptions as they had a greater protection against rising jet fuel prices.
Sharpe, Cathay's Sharpe, said that many airlines do not hedge jet fuel because it is a smaller market than oil and costs more to hedge.
She said, "The market is extremely thin and expensive." Fuel prices are highly volatile, and we do not have a crystal-ball to predict the future. ($1 = 0.8660 euros)
(source: Reuters)