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Asian spot prices remain at a 1-year low due to a tepid demand

The price of Asian spot LNG (liquefied natural gases) increased this week despite production problems in Asia and Europe. However, it was still at a near-year-low due to tepid overall demand.

Average LNG price for delivery to North-east Asia in June Industry sources estimate that the price of a million British thermal unit (mmBtu) is now $11.80, up from last week's $11.50/mmBtu which was its lowest level since mid-May.

Martin Senior, Argus' head of LNG pricing, stated that there are only a few buyers for immediate cargoes. Chinese and Indian importers are largely ignoring the market because prices are over $11.00/mmBtu. South Korea, however, is currently Asia's main spot buyer.

He said that the South Korean demand was strong. Stocks held by Kogas (the country's state-owned company) were last heard of as being around 20 percent filled. This has led to interest from not only Kogas but also Komipo and Kospo, as well Prism.

Private importers can benefit from buying cargoes at a lower price than Kogas' tariff.

Siamak Adibi said that despite a recent outage of the Bintulu LNG Complex owned by Petronas, the supply situation is still good.

Equinor's Hammerfest Terminal, Europe's biggest LNG export facility, was also offline for scheduled annual maintenance on Tuesday until July 19.

Adibi said that the exports from Venture Global’s Plaquemines facility in the U.S. reached 1 million tonnes per month. BP also loaded the first cargo from its Greater Tortue Ahmeyim offshore Mauritania, and Senegal.

He added that "we also expect the start-up of LNG Canada by mid-year, and a ramp up in supply from Corpus Christi" - referring to Cheniere Energy’s plant in the U.S.

S&P Global Commodity Insights' daily North West Europe Gas Marker benchmark price for cargoes to be delivered in June was $10.49/mmBtu ex-ship on April 24. This represents a $0.70/mmBtu reduction from the gas price in June at the Dutch TTF Hub.

Argus estimated the price for delivery in June at $10.58/mmBtu. Spark Commodities estimated the price for May at $10.376/mmBtu.

Florence Schmit is an energy strategist with Rabobank London. She said that while Europe's demand for gas has begun to decline due to seasonal trends, there are still concerns about storage injections in the summer.

She said that the winter premium on summer contracts was still trading at only 0.50 euros per Megawatt Hour, which is not enough incentive to encourage full injections.

The EU's roadmap for the phase-out of Russian fuel supplies will also scupper any expectations that Russian pipeline supplies would return, and push European buyers even further to seaborne imports.

According to Spark Commodities analyst Qasim Afghan, the Atlantic LNG freight rates increased to $35,750/day last Friday while Pacific LNG rates dropped to $22,250/day.

He added that despite pointing towards Asia earlier in the week, the U.S. arbitrage for the front month to North-East Asia via Cape of Good Hope is now closed, and it's marginally pointing toward Europe.

(source: Reuters)