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DHL shares fall on cautious profit outlook

DHL's 2026 outlook is more cautious than analysts' expectations. A 'weak macroeconomic' backdrop weighs heavily on DHL's prospects.

The shares of the German logistic group were down 3% at 0919 GMT, and ranked last on the blue-chip index of the country.

DHL anticipates that its earnings will exceed 6.2 billion euro ($7.2 billion) this year. This is after it reported an operating profit for '2025 of 6.1 billion euro. According to a consensus provided by the company, EBIT was expected to be slightly lower than analysts' average expectations.

Tobias Meyer, CEO of Tobias Meyer Group, said that there is "significant geopolitical uncertainty and volatility out there" as was evident in the first two?months?of this year. "Our forecast does not assume an improvement in the global economy." As the Middle East conflict intensifies, logistics and shipping companies face increasing disruptions on air and sea routes.

Meyer,?during an investor call, said that DHL had historically benefited more from the turmoil in the Middle East than it had suffered. "We have an established road network throughout the Middle East, which allows us to deliver cargo to airports that remain open," Meyer said.

Analysts had predicted that DHL's operating profit for the fourth quarter would fall 1.3%, to 1.83 billion euro. This was due to its freight forwarding division, which saw a 36% drop in earnings.

European logistics and shipping operators are 'fighting against a weaker demand, a series trade disruptions and tariffs that were imposed by U.S. president Donald Trump.

We see declining freight rates in air and ocean freight. Meyer stated that the economic conditions in Europe and Germany are affecting road freight. Reporting by Emanuele Bernro and Matthias Inverardi, editing by Milla Nissi-Prussak.

(source: Reuters)