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Polish presidential elections will test whether PM's pro EU vision is Trump proof

On Sunday, the Poles will vote in a presidential poll that will determine whether Warsaw continues on the pro-European course set by Prime Minister Donald Tusk or takes steps to bring back nationalist supporters of U.S. president Donald Trump.

Trump's return has energized eurosceptics throughout Europe. Sunday's vote will be the most stern test of Tusk’s pro-European agenda since he took power in 2023 and ousted the nationalist Law and Justice party (PiS).

Rafal Trozaskowski is the incumbent Warsaw mayor, and he represents Tusk’s Civic Coalition. Karol Nawrocki is a conservative historian who has been backed by PiS.

Trzaskowski is the frontrunner. He will likely face Nawrocki if there are no candidates who win more than 50%. A run-off may be held on June 1, if none of them wins over 50%. Media blackout laws prohibit the publication of poll results between Saturday morning and Sunday's voting.

Slawomir Mentzen, a candidate from the far right Confederation Party, Szymon Holownia (President of the Parliament) from the centre-right Poland 2020 and Magdalena Biejat are also in the race.

The Polish first-round vote occurs on the same date as a Romanian second-round presidential runoff, in which George Simion (a nationalist campaigning to "Make Romania Great again") faces Nicusor Daniel, the Bucharest mayor of centrist views.

The EU would be shocked if two eurosceptics were to win, especially at a moment when the EU is dealing with both the Russian invasion of Poland's eastern neighbor Ukraine and Trump tariffs.

The polls open in Poland at 7 am (0500 GMT), and close at 9:00 pm. About 29 million people can vote.

The Polish president is limited in his executive powers, but he can veto laws. This has allowed the outgoing president Andrzej Duda, an ally of PiS, to block efforts by Tusk, who wants to undo judicial reforms implemented under PiS. Tusk claims that these changes hamper democracy.

Trzaskowski pledged to cement Poland’s role as an important player in the European policymaking process and to work with the government on rolling back PiS’s judicial reforms.

'END THE CHASMA'

He told TVP Info, Friday: "I will definitely strengthen our relations with our partners... in NATO and the EU." "I'll also ask the lawmakers to hand me all of Duda's vetoed bills to sign. I hope we can also end the chaos that PiS has left in our justice system."

Nawrocki was accused of defrauding an elderly man by promising to provide care, but he never did. Trump met Nawrocki at the White House to show his support.

Nawrocki sees the election as an opportunity to prevent Tusk from gaining unchecked political power, and to push back on liberal values represented Trzaskowski. Trzaskowski was Warsaw's mayor when he patronised LGBT marches, and removed Christian crosses from public building.

He told a Lublin rally that "the cross my opponent removed in Warsaw... 1000 years of Polish heritage, is our strength and our energy."

Nawrocki, unlike some eurosceptics from central Europe who oppose military aid for Ukraine to fend of Russia. He has however tapped into the anti-Ukrainian feeling among some Poles who are worried about an influx refugees from their neighbor.

He said that Polish citizens should be given priority in the public sector and criticized Kyiv for its attitude towards exhumations of remains of Poles who were killed by Ukrainian nationalists in World War Two. Alan Charlish reports.

(source: Reuters)