Latest News

INDIA RUPEE - Rupee's appreciation is capped by dollar offers from state-run and foreign banks

The Indian rupee edged up on Friday, as the dollar struggled to deal with concerns about the future independence and the Federal Reserve. There were also increased expectations that the U.S. benchmark rate would be cut.

Dollar bids by foreign and state-run bankers capped the rupee's gains, after it managed to climb above the 85.50 level in early trading.

The currency last traded at 85.5375 against the US dollar, an increase of 0.2% for the day.

Asian currencies traded in a mixed manner. The dollar index stood at 97.4, close to a three-year low. The benchmark Indian equity indexes BSE Sensex, and Nifty 50 registered slight gains.

Bets have been placed on the Fed easing policy due to speculation that U.S. president Donald Trump could announce the new Federal Reserve Chair earlier than usual. The next chair is expected be more dovish.

This has in turn put pressure on the dollar, which was already under pressure due to concerns over U.S. fiscal and trade policies this year.

The dollar index has fallen over 10% in the past year and is set to have its largest first-half drop since the beginning of the free-floating currency era, which began in the early 1970s.

BofA Global Research has a bearish outlook on the dollar in the medium-to-long term, due to the economic uncertainty in the U.S., the looming threat of Fed cuts and the push by global real money investors who are just beginning to increase FX hedging for U.S. assets.

The dollar-rupee swap rate increased on Friday. Traders attributed the increase to foreign bank sell/buy swaps, which were likely sparked by dollar inflows associated with a large US IPO.

The bids for the $1.5 billion IPO of Indian lender HDB Financial are set to close this Friday. As of 11:15 a.m., IST, the issue had been subscribed nearly twice as much. (Reporting and editing by Jaspreet K. Kalra)

(source: Reuters)