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Singapore's Aviation Showcase will reflect the region's growth and defence ambitions as well as its uncertainties.

Asia's premier aerospace event will feature planes, weapons and parts as the industry struggles to balance increasing demand for air travel while juggling geopolitical issues and chronic supply shortages.

The biennial Singapore Airshow is next week as the Southeast Asian city state and its neighbouring countries consider China's continued build-up of arms in the region, while also looking over their shoulders at an increasingly isolationist United States.

The Royal Australian Air Force's Lockheed Martin F-35 jet fighters will make their show debut as Singapore awaits the first deliveries. However, some analysts question how much damage has been done to the alliances that support such programmes.

"The main issue is how will Asian nations assess the U.S. defense commitment to the region," Byron Callan said, managing partner of research firm Capital Alpha Partners.

The Asia's largest Air Show, which takes place from February 3-8, is expected attract over 1,000 companies, including aircraft manufacturers, airliners, arms firms, and military delegations, from all around the globe.

Security analysts and executives in the industry expect that its defence segment will attract significant interest as military budgets increase across Asia-Pacific due to increasing geopolitical tensions.

As countries look to improve their defences, they will invest in technologies such as drones, missile defence systems, and counter-drones.

FLEETS OF AIRLINES EXPANDING

The show comes at an important time for the civil aviation industry. The airlines are trying to consolidate their recovery from the pandemic and expand fleets, while manufacturers continue to struggle with supply chain bottlenecks.

Subhas Menon of the Association of Asia Pacific Airlines said that fleet expansion in?the Asia-Pacific will remain "robust" despite supply chain bottlenecks.

Southeast Asia and India will lead the growth, but he warned that "protectionism?and trade friction mean there are no easy solutions" to long-standing supply problems.

Airbus and Boeing are facing increasing challenges to their duopoly.

COMAC, a Chinese company, is competing for attention with the C919 passenger plane it has developed in-house. The C919 will be making a second appearance after dominating headlines last year.

Adam Cowburn of Alton Aviation Consultancy, the managing director, said that people will watch COMAC with great interest.

Their early success outside China was largely a Southeast Asian tale. It will be interesting to see how this story develops at the airshow, or over the next year.

COMAC, while attempting to establish itself as an alternative to the Airbus/Boeing duopoly in Southeast Asia, remains heavily dependent on smaller airlines in Cambodia, Brunei Laos Vietnam and Indonesia.

The C919 narrow body and the smaller C909 Regional Jet are two of its existing models. They lack Western certification, which limits their appeal to markets that are closely aligned to China.

COMAC, like other manufacturers, has fallen short of its delivery targets due primarily to supply chain issues.

They deliver far fewer planes in one year than Boeing or Airbus do in a month. Cowburn stated that the gap was substantial.

Social media pictures showed that COMAC had unveiled the first major variant of its C919 aircraft, a reminder of its commercial ambitions.

Air Current, a trade publication, reported that the shortened 140-seat version, which is designed for plateau areas like the Tibetan capital of Lhasa and other highlands, was first seen outside COMAC’s factory on 21 January. COMAC is also planning a longer stretched version.

Brazil's Embraer, which announced a new assembly line for India, the fastest-growing aviation industry in the world, will also showcase its regional jets.

This year, sustainability will be a major theme at the event. The transition to cleaner energies is not without its challenges.

"SAF has also been caught up in supply chain, protectionionism, and trade barrier issues." Menon added that traditional fuel suppliers had not taken the necessary steps to transition away from fossil fuels. He also said that older fleets were limiting efficiency gains. Reporting by Tim Hepher, Joe Brock and Julie Zhu from Paris; Additional reporting by Greg Torode from Hong Kong. Editing by Jamie Freed.

(source: Reuters)