Latest News
-
Dassault confirms new rift with Airbus regarding Eurodrone
Dassault Aviation CEO, Mr. Trappier, said 'Wednesday' that Airbus 'tried to kick them out of the multinational Eurodrone project. This confirms a separate rift between planemakers and the collapse of plans for an European fighter jet. Airbus refused to comment on Trappier’s comments. They confirm that the Eurodrone dispute is real after it was reported last month that Dassault wanted compensation from Airbus. "For us, it's very simple. Airbus told us 'get out,' CEO Eric Trappier said to a French Senate committee when asked about Eurodrone surveillance. "We disagree and are currently in discussion on why we have been excluded. I can't say anything more about the program because "relations have broken down at a (programme) level", he said. People familiar with the situation said that the Eurodrone dispute is about a smaller share of work for 'Dassault' after Paris decided to halt purchases of the rival product of the U.S., the 'Reaper, which was being developed by France, Germany, Italy, and Spain. (Reporting and editing by Alexander Smith, Florence Loeve, Tim Hepher)
-
Traders say that the price of Urals crude oil in India has fallen to its lowest level in four months due to an abundance of supply and increased competition.
Three 'trade sources' told us on Wednesday that the price differentials between Russia Urals crude delivered to India in August had?fallen to its lowest level since late February amid a plethora of?supply? and increasing competition. The discount for August Urals cargoes shipped to Indian ports under the DES system had widened from $4 to $7 per barrel compared to the benchmark Brent dated 10 days ago. The price of Russia's flagship grade in India is at its lowest level since the Iran war began, as Middle Eastern producers resume their shipments through the Strait of Hormuz after the interim peace agreement last month. The Urals discount to Brent increased to $10 per barrel during the winter when U.S. sanctions tightened and disrupted Russian oil trading, up from $1 to $3 per barrel last summer. The Gulf of Oman is expected to boost its crude oil supplies as the Strait of Hormuz opens again. Russia has also increased?exports. As a result of the Ukrainian drone attacks, Russia will ship a record volume of 'crude' from its western ports this June. India's.imports of Russian crude oil surged in June to a new record, according to.ship tracking data.from LSEG. Reporting by. Mark Potter (Editing by Mark Potter).
-
ROI-Putin's diesel export ban risks new fuel shock: Bousso
The looming Russian ban on diesel exports could not have come at a worse time. After the largest energy shock in decades and a dangerously low global fuel inventory, another supply cut could threaten to undermine a fragile recovery. Russian President Vladimir Putin announced on Sunday that the Kremlin is considering a ban of diesel exports, after acknowledging the mounting shortages in Russia. These shortages were triggered by Ukrainian drone attacks on Russian refineries as part of Kyiv's expanding energy campaign against Moscow during the fifth year the Ukraine war. Fuel is the mainstay of global economy, powering everything from heavy transport and industry to tractors and construction equipment. The market has yet to recover from the Strait of Hormuz closure, which cut off oil supply when the Iran conflict broke out on February 28, 2008. Diesel prices soared in April as 13% of the world's oil supply was cut off. This sudden shortage triggered severe shortages, and depleted already low global inventories. Reopening the strait after the interim U.S./Iran deal of June 17 has brought relief. Tanker traffic is uneven and below pre-war levels. However, trapped Gulf barrels have begun to flow again. This has helped to?drive down Brent crude prices by more than 40%. A new conflict is arising in an old conflict, just as the worst effects of the Middle East's energy crisis begin to fade. RUSSIAN SHORTAGES The Russian government's threat to ban diesel exports highlights the country's own strained position. In recent months, the world's third largest crude producer - and major diesel supplier - has suffered significant damage to its infrastructure as Ukraine intensified attacks against?oil refineries and terminals across the country. Moscow's main refinery was hit twice in the last month, and will remain offline for six months. The strikes have affected around a quarter (roughly 7 million barrels per day) of Russia's refining capacity. Fuel prices are up and there are long queues at filling station across the country. According to local media, Russia could even be forced into importing fuel. This would be a dramatic reversal of fortunes for a country which has been a major supplier of refined products on the global market. Exports are already suffering a severe blow. According to Kpler, Russian diesel seaborne shipments fell sharply over the past few months. In June, they dropped to 426,000 bpd, which is the lowest level since at least January 2017. This is down from 827,00 bpd in the previous year, when Russia was second largest diesel exporter behind the U.S. and accounted for 11% global seaborne supply. Turkey and Brazil are the two largest buyers. The rest of the money is mainly going to Africa. The impact of a complete export ban would be felt far beyond the borders of Russia, given its timing. The ban is coming at an alarming time. Global inventories of refined product have been rapidly reduced in the past few months, to make up for lost Middle Eastern volumes. According to Energy Information Administration, the distillate stock in the U.S. is just above a 23 year low of 100 million barrels, reached in May. Other inventories tell a similar tale. According to Insights Global's report, diesel stocks in northwest Europe - a major importer of diesel - have fallen by around 20% since the beginning of the Iran War. This has left the region with a small buffer against new supply shocks. The market is also entering a period of criticality, as inventories are usually rebuilt in preparation for winter, which can be characterized by increased demand due to the heating season, freight and agriculture. DANGER AHEAD The diesel refining margins have already begun to flash red. According to LSEG, in Europe, benchmark diesel refinery margins, also known as cracks, have jumped by more than 35% following the U.S.Iran interim deal. This reverses earlier declines, and has risen above $46 a barrel. Singapore cracks are now back above $40 per barrel in Asia. The 'gradual normalization' of Gulf crude flow rates should allow Asian refineries to increase their run rates following months of disruption. This will help to alleviate some of the tightness of global fuel supplies. This relief, however, may not be enough. The fragile rebalancing that is currently underway could be thrown off course if Russia removes more barrels from the market. Diesel prices would rise again, inventories would be depleted and costs for consumers, transport, industry, and the government will increase. The global economy cannot afford to suffer another energy shock after one of the worst in recent decades. You like this column? Open Interest (ROI) is your new essential source of global financial commentary. Follow ROI on LinkedIn and X. Listen to the Morning Bid podcast daily on Apple, Spotify or the app. Subscribe to the Morning Bid podcast and hear journalists discussing the latest news in finance and markets seven days a weeks.
-
Joachim Klement: The next Iran war could be closer than you think.
The Iran war is over, but many people may mistake a pre-election break for peace. Tehran's economic leverage will remain strong until the U.S. midterm election in November but may weaken after the results are announced, increasing the risk of renewed confrontation. How can the rest of the globe avoid being collateral damage in this new dangerous environment? It is unclear whether the 60-day negotiations between the U.S. The most important thing for the markets is the fact that the interim agreement has restored the energy flow through the Strait of Hormuz. This was the crucial energy chokepoint which had been effectively closed off during the conflict. Crude prices have fallen to levels seen before the war. However, the clock is ticking. Many, including myself, argued from the beginning of the war that the rising oil price would have a greater impact on the politics of the conflict than missiles or diplomacy. This seems to be borne out now. Although the war may have been longer than anticipated, economic and political pressures seem to have heavily influenced Donald Trump's decision, as demonstrated by the U.S. willingness of giving Iran many items from its wish list for the simple act of reopening strait. The midterm elections held in November have always been a key deadline for the administration. This is still the case. What will happen to the power balance between Washington and Tehran once the midterm elections are over? Peace for Now The American public was unpopular about the war. Trump's net rating in anEconomist/YouGov survey fell from -negative 17 at the beginning of the war to -negative 24 before a ceasefire framework announcement, and it has since recovered to -negative 21. The rise in energy prices played a major role. Trump's net rating for inflation and price has plummeted to a negative 40. The trajectory of gasoline prices in the coming months will determine how much damage the Trump administration is able to control. Energy Information Administration data shows that pump prices have fallen from near $4.50 per gallon during the war to $3.90. If peace talks fail, this could change. Tehran may not need to even close the Strait of?Hormuz in order to influence energy costs. The Iranian government may not even need to close the Strait of?Hormuz in order to influence energy prices. This risk premium can quickly affect crude oil and gasoline prices as well as freight costs, fertilisers, and industrial input costs. This gives Iran more power in an election year. Brent crude is down 40% since the peak of the war. Energy traders are willing to ignore minor incidents between the U.S. This could change quickly, however, if Iran appears to be willing to use its Hormuz cards again. THE RISK RETURNS However, the delicate balance of power could change dramatically after the U.S. Midterm elections on November 3. If Republicans lose their seats, Trump may face a hostile or divided Congress that makes it more difficult to pass legislation and budgets. RealClear Polling shows that Democrats currently lead the generic congressional ballot with a margin of over five percentage points. They are believed to have an excellent chance of regaining control of the House of Representatives where they need only a net gain of 5 seats. Trump may be more tempted to pursue political victories overseas, where there are fewer restrictions from Congress and the courts. Trump has been criticized both domestically and internationally for an interim agreement that favors Iran. Brent's rapid retreat also suggests that energy traders are able to quickly dismiss political risks. This could make renewed military action more appealing after the midterm elections. Iran has the upper hand for now. But that could change in the fall if the parties cannot reach a final agreement. This is a possibility, given the distance between the parties on important sticking points, such as Iran's nuke program. This seesawing leverage does not lead to a permanent war, but rather persistent risk. The SAFER STRATEGIC BET This leaves the large energy consumers - such as Europe and Asia - susceptible to sudden spikes in gas and oil prices, and disruptions in the supply of fertilizers and other commodities. Reduce the influence imported fossil fuels have on their economies. Europe appears to have got the memo. Many governments in the area are reconsidering their domestic oil and natural gas production as a temporary solution and increasing investments in renewables, nuclear power and other energy sources to reduce their dependence on fossil fuels. This shift will increase the supply chain dependence on China as the dominant player in renewables. The nature of this dependence is not the same as a reliance on imported energy. If imports of gas and oil are stopped, the power plants and refineries who rely on these products will be immediately under pressure. If China restricted exports of'solar cells or?wind turbines, existing wind and solar farms would continue to operate. Which is a safer'strategic bet'? The Iran War may have ended, but a longer battle could be just beginning. It is important for countries that are vulnerable to prepare. You like this column? Open Interest (ROI) is your new essential source of global financial commentary. Follow ROI on LinkedIn and X. Listen to the Morning Bid podcast daily on Apple, Spotify or the app. Subscribe to the Morning Bid podcast and hear journalists discussing the latest news in finance and markets seven days a weeks. (Writing and Editing by Margueritachoy and Anna Szymanski.)
-
Taiwanese ships should not board China coast guard vessels, Taipei claims
Senior officials said that Taiwanese vessels off the east coast of Taiwan should ignore any 'boarding and inspection' demands from China's Coast Guard. China, which views Taiwan, democratically governed, as its territory, sent Coast Guard vessels last month to the waters off Taiwan’s east coast, angering Taipei, for what they called a “special maritime traffic law enforcement operation”. China claimed that the operation was a response to an announcement made by Japan and Philippines that they were going to begin formal discussions on their maritime boundaries. Beijing believed this would involve Chinese waters near Taiwan. Hsieh Ching -chin, the deputy head of Taiwan Coast Guard, answered questions from lawmakers in parliament. He said that if there was an "incident", ships should "notify Taiwan Coast Guard" and "not reply to so-called "boarding inspections" by Chinese vessels. He added that if the situation was urgent, Coast Guard vessels would sail between the two boats to separate them. The China Taiwan Affairs Office has not responded to a comment request. China has said that the waters surrounding Taiwan are Chinese, and Taipei does not have its own'sovereignty. Hsieh stated that if the same request were made of a foreign registered ship in Taiwan waters then "in order to defend our sovereignty and maintain our waters we will intervene". He added, "China has no jurisdiction in our waters." The Chinese patrol last month did not include any requests for ship boarders from Taiwan or China. Taiwanese officials said that the Chinese coast guard vessels "harassed commercial shipping" by asking for information about its origin and destination, and claiming jurisdiction. In 2024, Chinese coast guard personnel briefly boarded an?Taiwanese tourist boat near Taiwan controlled islands adjacent to China's coastline. The United States, Britain, France, and Germany are concerned about China's patrols near Taiwan's eastern coast. (Reporting and editing by Raju Gopalakrishnan; Ben Blanchard)
-
ROI-Putin's diesel export ban risks new fuel shock: Bousso
A looming Russian diesel export ban could not come at a worse time. Fuel inventories around the world are at a dangerously low level, and another supply shock could undermine a fragile economic recovery. Russian President Vladimir Putin said on Sunday the Kremlin is considering a diesel export ban after recognizing mounting domestic shortages. These shortages were caused by Ukrainian drone attacks on Russian refineries as part of Kyiv’s wider energy campaign against Moscow in the fifth year the Ukraine War. Fuels with high energy density are used to power heavy transport, agriculture, industry, and construction equipment, from trucks and ships, to construction machines and tractors. The market has yet to recover from the Strait of Hormuz closure, which cut off oil supply when the Iran conflict broke out on February 28, 2008. Diesel prices soared in April as 13% of the world's oil supply was cut off. This sudden shortage triggered severe shortages, and depleted already low global inventories. Reopening the strait after the interim U.S./Iran deal of June 17 has provided immediate relief. Tanker traffic is uneven and below pre-war levels. However, trapped Gulf barrels have started to flow again. This has helped drive Brent crude prices down by more than 40%. A new conflict is arising in the Middle East just as the worst effects of the Middle East's energy shock begin to fade. RUSSIAN RUSHING SHORTAGES The threat of a Russian diesel export ban highlights the country's own increasingly stressed position. In recent months, the world's third largest crude producer - and a major supplier of diesel - has suffered significant damage to its infrastructure as Ukraine intensified attacks against oil terminals and refining plants?across country. Moscow's main refinery was hit twice in the last month, and will remain offline for six months. The strikes have affected around a quarter (roughly 7 million barrels per day) of Russia's refining capacity. Fuel prices are up and there are long queues at filling station across the country. According to reports in local media, Russia could even be forced into importing fuel. This would be a dramatic reversal of fortunes for a nation that was a major supplier of refined products on the global market. Exports are already suffering a severe blow. According to Kpler, Russian seaborne diesel exports have dropped sharply over the past few months. In June, they fell to 426,000 bpd, their lowest level since January 2017. This is down from 827,00 bpd in the previous year, when Russia was second largest diesel exporter behind the U.S. and accounted for 11% global seaborne supply. Turkey and Brazil are the two largest buyers. The rest of the money is mainly going to Africa. The impact of a complete export ban will therefore be felt far beyond the borders of Russia, especially in light of its timing. This ban is coming at a terrible time. Global inventories of refined product have plummeted to alarming levels after being drained rapidly in the last few months to make up for lost Middle Eastern volumes. According to Energy Information Administration, the distillate stock in the U.S. is just above a 23 year low of 100 million barrels, reached in May. Other inventories tell a similar tale. According to Insights Global's report, diesel stocks in northwest Europe - a major region for diesel imports - have fallen by around 20% since the beginning of the Iran War, leaving little cushion against new supply shocks. The market is also 'entering a period of criticality, where inventories are typically rebuilt before winter in the Northern Hemisphere when demand increases due to heating, freight and agriculture. DANGER AHEAD The diesel refining margins have already begun to flash red. According to LSEG, in Europe, benchmark diesel refinery margins, also known as cracks, have jumped by more than 35% following the interim?deal between the U.S. and Iran. This reverses earlier declines, pushing them above $46 a barrel. Singapore cracks are now back over $40 per barrel in Asia. The gradual normalization of crude oil flows from the Gulf will allow Asian refineries to increase their run rates following months of disruption. This should help to alleviate some of the shortages in global fuel supply. This relief, however, may not be enough. If Russia removes more barrels from the market, then?the fragile balance that is now being achieved could be quickly upset. Diesel prices would rise again, inventories would continue to be depleted and costs for consumers, transport, industry, and the government will increase. The global economy cannot afford to suffer another energy shock after one of the worst in recent decades. You like this column? Open Interest (ROI) is your new essential source of global financial commentary. Follow ROI on LinkedIn and X. Listen to the Morning Bid podcast daily on Apple, Spotify or the app. Subscribe to the Morning Bid podcast and hear journalists discussing the latest news in finance and markets seven days a weeks.
-
Maguire: The solar boom in Europe is masking an increasing strain on the power markets.
Solar power in Europe is soaring to new heights, but the power markets of this region are under increasing stress. Solar generation in the European Union is on track to break new records this year. Capacity additions are continuing at a rapid pace, and favorable weather conditions have boosted outputs across key markets, such as Germany, Spain, and France. Solar power now accounts for more than half the midday electricity mix in some areas. The surge in output is an indication of the success of Europe’s clean energy drive, but it also reveals a growing mismatch between the time when electricity is generated and the time when it is required. This imbalance is pushing prices down during peak production, which in turn reduces revenues for renewable generators. Grid operators are also forced to curtail their supply. Europe has learned that producing cheap, clean energy at scale is just part of the problem - capturing their value is much harder. SOLAR RAPID RISE There are few comparables to the scale of Europe's expansion in solar power. Solar capacity in both residences and utilities has risen dramatically due to policy support provided by the Green Deal, REPowerEU and falling installation costs. Spain is a solar powerhouse that exports surplus production to neighbouring markets. Germany, on the other hand, continues to be a leader in distributed solar deployment. Southern Europe's increased irradiation is accelerating this shift. However, even the northern markets are experiencing strong growth. This results in a system that is increasingly shaped and influenced by the daily solar production profile. There are sharp spikes around noon, followed by steep drops in the evening. Especially in areas with limited storage or interconnection, the midday production sometimes exceeds local demand. CAPTURE LOSS The power price is being reshaped by this. Solar's capture rate, or the price that it earns in relation to wholesale prices on average, is declining across Europe. It's simple: When solar overwhelms the grid at peak hours, the prices are depressed. In extreme situations, prices can turn negative. This means generators have to pay in order to remain online. LSEG data show that the average capture price during the first six months of 2026 - across Germany, France and the Netherlands as well as Belgium, Italy, Spain, is down by 42% compared with the same period in 2023. The implications for solar developers and utilities are huge. The production of solar panels does not guarantee a rise in revenue. Each additional megawatt of power cannibalizes existing production. Merchant projects, or those exposed to wholesale markets, are particularly vulnerable. Even projects that are contracted feel the pressure as counterparties hesitate to lock in prices for long-term in a volatile market. CUTTING GROWTH Grid constraints force operators to waste more clean electricity. In high-solar areas, curtailment is more common. It has reached record levels in Germany and Spain in 2026. According to LSEG, in May, Germany's energy firms cut back on solar output by an estimated 1,28 terawatt-hours (TWh), while utilities in Spain curtailed more than 2.4 TWh. When prices drop below zero, many producers will simply stop production rather than lose money. UTILITY STRAIN Solar boom has become a double-edged blade for utilities. One side of the equation is that renewable energy generation continues to grow rapidly. This supports decarbonization and asset growth over time. The revenue profile for these assets is also deteriorating. The price of power is becoming more volatile. There are deep troughs in sunny hours, and sharp peaks when there are low renewable output periods. This volatility is good for flexible generation, such as hydro, gas and storage, but can be a problem for solar-heavy portfolios. Utilities respond by investing in balance and flexibility services and seeking to increase revenue stability via power purchase agreements. These strategies do not fully offset the structural decline of capture prices. FLEXIBLE FIX Too much solar is not the problem, but rather too little flexibility. Battery storage is growing rapidly, but it's not at the scale required to absorb midday excesses. The demand-side response is still underdeveloped. Industrial consumption remains relatively rigid, and new sources of demand such as heat pumps and electric vehicles are not fully optimized to balance the grid. Another bottleneck is the expansion of transmission. To move power from "surplus regions" in the south, to the demand centers of the north, requires major infrastructure investment that is often slowed down by permit delays and public resistance. The system will struggle until these gaps are filled to convert the growing renewable energy into valuable and usable electricity. This creates a balancing act for policymakers. Europe cannot afford to delay its solar rollout in order to achieve climate targets and reduce its dependence on imported fossil fuels. Adding capacity to grids without improving storage, market design and grids risks undermining economics. There are many potential solutions, such as incentives for co-located energy storage, reforms in electricity pricing and stronger signals to encourage flexible demand. Implementing them at scale and quickly enough to keep up with solar growth remains a challenge. The continent has mostly solved the problem of producing clean electricity at scale and low cost. Next comes the harder part: integrating that power into an existing system. If flexibility, infrastructure and market structures do not evolve simultaneously, the paradox will become worse - cleaner power but with less value per unit produced. Or, to put it another way, Europe's solar power is not limited by the amount it can produce. It is only constrained by its ability to use it effectively when all of it arrives at once. These are the opinions of the columnist, who is also an author. This column is great! Open Interest (ROI) is your new essential source of global financial commentary. Follow ROI on LinkedIn, X and X. Listen to the Morning Bid podcast daily on Apple, Spotify or the app. Subscribe to the Morning Bid podcast and hear journalists discussing the latest news in finance and markets 7 days a weeks.
-
StanChart and Uganda sign an agreement to finance roads worth EUR110 Million
The finance ministry announced that Uganda had'signed a EUR110.5m ($126.1m)?agreement? with the local unit of international lender?"Standard Chartered? to help finance the building of a new road in the northeastern region of the country. In a late-night post on X, the Ministry said that a new 115.8 km road would help "reduce transportation costs" and strengthen regional trade. * The road will be built in Karamoja in northeastern Uganda, near the Kenyan border. In recent years, the area has attracted a rush in investor interest because of its vast mineral potential. The Ministry said that the road would 'also support ongoing major investments in the area, including a $300 million cement plant?and an $72 million international airport. ($1 = EUR0.8766) Reporting by Elias Biryabarema, Editing by Tom Hogue & Sonia Cheema
Dassault, France's fighter manufacturer, is open to collaboration after the collapse of its programme
?French planemaker Dassault Aviation is open to cooperation ?after the collapse of a Franco-German-Spanish fighter programme, its ?CEO said on Wednesday, while ?leaving open the prospect ?of ?working with a non-European partner. Eric Trappier gave his first official testimony since Germany, France and Airbus scrapped last month a project for a new generation fighter due to industrial disputes.
He told a French Senate committee that "we are capable of cooperating. We have demonstrated it in the past. But we want to 'cooperate with rules accepted from the beginning."
Trappier claimed that the failure of the core fighter project of FCAS was due to irreconcilable differences with Airbus. Dassault has blamed Airbus for the breakdown.
Trappier responded, "We could do it ourselves, it's possible. Or we can find partners." Does this partner have to be exclusively European? It's an open-ended question." It has been rumored that France might turn to the Swedish planemaker Saab or team up with an importing Middle East nation to develop its next generation fighter aircraft due to budget constraints. Airbus is also courting Saab.
Trappier stated that he hopes to get a contract for development by the end this year. This is the next version of Dassault’s existing Rafale fighter, known as Rafale F5.
He said: "We're studying the F5 now with our partners, and that should lead to a development contract by the end the year if we are to keep our schedule." Reporting by Florence Loeve, Tim Hepher and Elaine Hardcastle; Editing by Alexander Smith and Elaine Hardcastle
(source: Reuters)