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Iranian oil continues to flow through the Strait of Hormuz, even as Gulf neighboring countries' exports are shut

A review of tanker-tracking data revealed that Iranian crude oil has 'continued to flow through Strait of Hormuz with a near-normal rate, even though attacks by Tehran on ships in this narrow strait have decimated the exports of other Gulf countries. According to an analysis by TankerTrackers.com a maritime intelligence firm that specializes tracking shadow fleets, a network used to transport oil from countries under Western sanctions, Iran has exported about?13.7 millions barrels of crude since Israel and the U.S. attacked the country on 28 February.

Kpler, a vessel tracking service, estimated Iranian exports for the first 11 of March at around 16.5 million barrels. Iran's response to the Israeli-U.S. attacks included strikes on energy infrastructure in?the Middle East and ships in the Strait of Hormuz, which brought non-Iranian vessels transiting through the main gateway of Middle Eastern oil imports to a standstill. This forced producers in the area to reduce output. Iran's ability to continue exporting oil with no reported interceptions is in stark contrast to the U.S. military campaign in Venezuela which included a naval blocade and seizure of vessels attempting to enter Venezuelan waters. David Tannenbaum of Blackstone Compliance Services, a consulting firm, said that he was surprised by the U.S.'s failure to launch a similar campaign before starting this conflict or at this time, after their successful seizure of Venezuela-related ships in December.

Matias togni, Next Barrel Oil and Shipping analyst, said that the U.S.'s efforts to stop Iran linked tankers could lead to more attacks against vessels passing through?the Strait of Hormuz.

James Lightbourn is the founder and shipping financier of Cavalier Ship, a maritime investment and advisory firm.

Lightbourn stated that if the U.S. seizes tankers it would be less of a loss to Iran if the strait was closed completely (for example, with mines).

The White House of U.S. president Donald Trump did not respond immediately to a question about whether Washington intends to take any action against Iranian oil exports.

IRANIAN EXPORTS ARE COMING AT A SAME RATE AS LAST YEAR

TankerTracker.com data and?Kpler indicate that Iran's crude exports range between 1.1 and 1.5 million barrels of oil per day from February 28 to March 11, according to the data. Kpler data shows that the country exported 1.69 million barrels per day on average last year. The pace may pick up in days to come. According to a review of satellite images by TankerTrackers.com, multiple very large crude carriers - the largest oil vessels currently in service - are still loading oil on Iran's Kharg Island.

Kpler data shows that Iran increased its exports in anticipation of Israeli and U.S. military action prior to the 28th February strikes. Data showed that Iran exported oil at a record 3.79 million barrels per day in the week of February 16. According to an analysis by Kpler & Lloyd's List Intelligence, six crude oil tankers left Iran between February 28 and March 1, including the U.S. sanctioned vessel Cuma which sailed this week. According to earlier reports, two liquefied gas tankers also subject to U.S. sanctioned departed Iran on Friday after loading their cargoes. A separate analysis revealed that at least 11 million barrels?of?crude crude oil were shipped out of Iran. Four?supertankers, which left Iran with 8 million barrels, arrived in the waters near?Singapore.

The vessels are sailing in the same pattern within Iran's exclusive zone economic, which extends to up to 24 nautical miles beyond the local territorial limit of 12 nautical mile.

Shipping sources say that this is seen as a way to protect the vessels by keeping them in Iranian waters. Reporting by Shariq KHan in New York, Jonathan Saul, Enes Tunagur and Arathy SOMASEKHAR in Houston, with editing by David Gregorio.

(source: Reuters)