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Italy will see revenue from the sale of state assets worth 0.8% GDP by 2028

A government document published on Thursday showed that Italy expects to earn a revenue of?0.8% or?19.21 billion euros from the sale of state assets through 2028.

Sources familiar with Rome's thinking on the issue said that Rome is considering options such as selling stakes in the air traffic controller ENAV and the bailed-out bank Monte dei Paschi di Siena.

In its multi-year plan (DFP), the Treasury stated that asset sales of 0.2 percentage points will be factored into projections for debt-to GDP ratios this year. This figure is expected to rise to 0.5 percentage points in 2027, and 0.1 percent in 2028.

The International Monetary Fund predicts that Italy's debt will rise from 137.1% to 138.6% of GDP by 2026. This is above the 138.4% forecast.

The?DFP project Italy's debt to remain almost stable at 138.5% by 2027 before falling to 137.9% by 2028, and then to 136.3% in the following year.

Giorgia Melons, the Prime Minister of Italy, announced that the government would be able to raise 20 billion Euros from the sale of assets in order to "keep the debt under control" after she assumed office at the end 2022.

Rome, however, has gradually scaled back its plans since then. The previous budget plan, unveiled in Septembre, did not contain official targets.

Italy has collected just over 4 billion Euros under Meloni by selling 52.5% MPS and 2.8% Eni via share placements.

WINDOW DRESSENESSING?

The DFP, published on Thursday, anticipates that asset sales will generate almost 5 billion euro this year, and 12 billion more in 2027 - the year of the scheduled general election. However, it does not provide any guidance as to the types of assets expected to be sold.

In recent years, Italy's independent auditor court said that selling off plans could be "window dressing" to paint a more favourable budget picture.

Meloni told Bloomberg in February in an interview that Rome's involvement in MPS was?over,' raising the prospect of a possible sale of the remaining 4,9% stake of the state, worth 1,36 billion euros based on Thursday's prices.

Sources said that Rome would have to issue a decree to allow the sale of an ENAV stake, since current legislation requires the Treasury to'maintain a minimum of 51% in the company.

Sources say that, in relation to Eni and the Treasury, investment bankers suggested that Italy sell its 2.17% stake directly to pocket 1.5 billion euros.

Sources said that under such a scheme Italy would retain complete?control over Eni via the indirect stake of 30.92% held by the state lender Cassa Depositi e Prestiti.

The government also took steps to return BDM to private ownership, a small banking institution that was rescued by the government in multiple steps since 2010.

(source: Reuters)