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Why the Iraq-Turkey Oil Pipeline was stopped for 2 1/2 years

For the first time since two and half years, crude oil flowed from northern Kurdistan in Iraq to Turkey on Saturday.

Here are the details of the dispute which halted a piped supply of approximately 450,000 barrels per daily (bpd), in March 2023.

What prompted the shutdown?

The Turkish government shut down the pipeline after a ruling by the International Chamber of Commerce, which ordered that it pay Iraq $1.5 billion for damages relating to unauthorised oil exports between 2014 and 2018 from Iraqi Kurdistan.

Iraq filed an arbitration request in 2014 at the Paris-based ICC regarding Turkey's role as a facilitator of exports from Kurdistan, without the consent by the federal government.

Baghdad demanded $33 billion as damages. It claimed that the national oil marketing company SOMO was the sole authority to export Iraqi oil.

The ICC is yet to rule on a second case of arbitration involving exports starting in 2018.

Why is it important for the oil market?

Iraq is OPEC’s second largest oil producer, and exports around 3.4 millions bpd through its southern ports.

Iraq's Oil Minister told Kurdish radio Rudaw that the latest deal would add between 180,000 and 190,000 barrels per day (bpd) from the north. This is expected to increase to around 230,000 bpd.

The U.S. had called for a restart as a higher supply would help lower crude prices. This is something that the Trump administration prioritized while simultaneously promising to reduce Iran's crude oil exports to zero.

This move also aligns with recent efforts made by OPEC+ countries to increase production to gain market shares.

What happens next?

Eight oil companies, which represent over 90% of the production in Iraqi Kurdistan have signed agreements with Baghdad to resume exports.

A trader independent will sell the crude from Ceyhan at SOMO's official price. Producers get $16 per barrel.

The Kurdistan region will benefit from the return of oil exports through the Iraq Turkey Pipeline. This will relieve the economic pressure that has led to salary delays and service cuts for the public sector.

(source: Reuters)