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In May, Asia's fuel imports from Iraq reached a 4-month high.

According to analysts, trade sources and Kpler data, Asia's fuel imports from Iraq reached a four-month peak in May, as high refining margins increased output and exports.

Baghdad's crude oil shipments are being cut to meet its commitments to OPEC+.

Kpler data shows that Asia's fuel imports from Iraq reached 910,000 metric tonnes (or 186,400 barrels per day) during May. This was the highest level since January, and was up more than 40% from the month before.

The Iraqi State Oil Company SOMO has not responded to a comment request.

The surge in Iraqi exports follows a record-high increase in the refining premiums for Dubai crude oil, which reached 380-cst last month.

A Singapore-based fuel oil dealer said that the cargoes were sent to Singapore for blending into the bunker pool, as demand for HSFO is low at Asian refineries.

Iraqi fuel oil has a high sulphur content and can be refined into products with a better value by refiners or blended into marine fuel by traders to be used by ships. Iraqi fuel oil exports have increased in recent years. They reached a new annual high last.

Trade sources reported that the supply influx in recent months has impacted Singapore HSFO bunker price and reduced profits for bunker suppliers, as ex-wharf 380cst spot bunker differentials have fallen to discounts on fuel oil quotations.

The seller must transport the bunker fuel to the wharf. This is the dock, or terminal where the cargo can be loaded and unloaded.

Analysts and traders said that Iraqi shipments will drop in the next few months, as refiners have reduced their margins on producing high-sulphur oil (HSFO), while demand for electricity in Iraq is expected to increase in the summer.

Palash Jain is a Middle East oil market analyst at FGE. He said that export volumes will likely decline if economic conditions worsen.

He added that Iraq will burn more liquid fuels to generate electricity in the summer months than last year.

Based on LSEG data, the refining margins for HSFO are now closer to parity with crude prices.

(source: Reuters)