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Oil prices steady as the market balances geopolitical risk against fundamentals that are bearish

The oil prices were relatively unchanged on Tuesday, as the United States' fears of a supply disruption following Ukrainian attacks on Russian vessels were offset by potential sales?of?Venezuelan?crude.

Brent crude futures were up 7 cents at $62.14 per barrel as of 0959 GMT. U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude (WTI), up 4 cents, was at $58.05.

Brent prices rose by more than 2% Monday. WTI prices climbed the most since November 14, while Brent's daily gains were their highest in two months.

After Monday's sharp increase in oil price, heavy oversupply has stifled any further rise. The upside is?limited', according to IG analyst Axel Rudolph, with floating storage at its most recent high since 2020. U.S. president?Donald Trump stated on Monday that the U.S. may keep or sell oil it has seized in recent weeks off the coasts of Venezuela as part of U.S. sanctions, which include a 'blockade' of oil tankers entering and exiting the South American nation.

Barclays stated in a Monday note that oil markets will remain well-supplied during the first half 2026. However, the bank also noted that the surplus of oil would 'diminishe to 700,000 barrels a day by the fourth quarter 2026. A prolonged disruption of the market could further tighten it. Russian forces attacked Ukraine's Black Sea Port of Odesa on Monday night - damaging port facilities and a vessel. This was the second attack in less than 24 hour. Ukrainian drones also damaged two vessels, a pier, and started a fire.

Ukraine has also targeted Russia’s maritime logistics by focusing on the shadow fleet oil tankers which attempt to bypass sanctions against Russia. Reporting by Seher D. Dareen, Anjana Anil and Emily Chow from Singapore. Editing by David Goodman.

(source: Reuters)