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Maguire: Africa is primed for solar breakthrough following record capacity growth

Africa is set to become a major driver of solar energy production in the world over the next decade, thanks to a powerful mix of policy support and rapid economic growth.

According to the Global Solar Council Africa installed a record of 4.5 gigawatts PV solar power in 2025. This was a 54% increase from?the previous year.

Eight countries have added more than 100 megawatts of solar power in the last year. This is double the number that will be at this threshold by 2024. It shows the growing appeal of solar energy systems on the continent.

Last year, African nations increased their collective imports in battery energy storage systems to make sure that utilities, homes and businesses can access solar power after dark.

From South Africa to Egypt, ambitious clean energy policies are likely to encourage a wider adoption of solar and batteries systems. This will help Africa become a major growth area for solar systems in 2030 and beyond.

GROWTH DRIVERS

South Africa is likely to have the largest solar footprint in Africa. This will be just over 10 GW after a 1.6GW increase in capacity in 2025.

According to the latest Integrated Resource Plan, around 10 GW new solar PV capacity will be installed by 2030. This includes 8.5 GW battery storage as well as around 5 GW distributed solar.

The majority of those figures are attainable with the current rate of installation, but grid bottlenecks and stunted investments in the overstretched national distribution networks will remain the main challenges for power developers.

North African nations such as Egypt, Algeria and Morocco, Tunisia and Tunisia, are among the fastest-growing solar markets outside of South Africa. They will add an additional 1.1GW between them in 2025.

North Africa is home to some of the largest utility-scale projects in the world. It has the highest levels of solar radiation in the world, as well as vast expanses of undeveloped land.

According to Global Energy Monitor, Egypt is North Africa’s leader in the development of solar power projects. It has around 5.5 gigawatts (GW) in construction and another 13 GW that are in pre-construction.

Tunisia and Libya have committed to large pipelines of solar energy development, which will help in the efforts to develop skilled workers tied to clean-energy development and maintenance.

Nigeria, which installed a record 803 MW of solar power in 2025, was also a prominent developer. Meanwhile, large solar projects are currently being built in Zimbabwe, Zambia and Ghana.

POLICY HELP

Solar assets in Africa are gaining more traction thanks to a number of country-level initiatives that aim to drive demand for renewable energy.

Nigeria, one of Africa's fastest growing economies, has approved new net-metering legislation that allows households and businesses the ability to offset their power bills by using rooftop solar installations.

New building codes in Kenya require that solar installations be installed. Aluminium mounting systems for solar panels will also soon be exempted from import duties.

Ethiopia also received funding to upgrade its grid in order to support renewable energy projects. Botswana has implemented new rules for the domestic energy markets that are expected boost the appeal of solar projects.

Tracking Potential

Africa's growing appetite for solar products comes at a time when several major markets, including those in Europe and other parts of the world, are reaching saturation after years of rapid expansion.

The trade war is a boon for solar panel exporters, mainly Chinese firms. They are locked out of U.S. markets and must find new markets where they can sell.

Data from the energy think tank Ember show that in 2025 African nations will have purchased a record amount of solar modules from China, totaling $2 billion. This represents a 36% rise from a year earlier.

African nations have also purchased $2.6 billion in battery systems made by China, which is a significant increase year-over-year and has helped Chinese vendors expand their service footprint on the continent.

African consumers can take advantage of the lower prices of solar components and batteries in 2026, and beyond. This is especially true in areas where tax breaks are available on imported goods and renewable energy has a favourable price.

This will help Africa's momentum in solar energy to pick up steam over the next decade and establish the region as a key player in the energy transition by 2030.

These are the opinions of a columnist who writes for.

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(source: Reuters)