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Investors brush aside government shutdown concerns to boost the S&P 500 and Nasdaq

The Nasdaq Composite and S&P 500 both closed slightly higher on Monday, as investors purchased heavyweight technology shares and shrugged aside the uncertainty surrounding a possible U.S. Government shutdown and hawkish comments from a Federal Reserve Official.

Investors bet on artificial intelligence's growth and expected that the Fed would continue to cut interest rates in order to combat persistent inflation and labor uncertainty.

Wall Street has been focusing on a funding standoff between Republicans, and Democrats, which could lead to a shutdown of the government beginning Wednesday. This is the first day of fiscal year 2026 for the U.S.

Lindsey Bell is the chief strategist of 248 Ventures, based in Charlotte, North Carolina. She said that even though the Labor Department was preparing for a possible delay in its September jobs report if there were a shutdown, it did not appear to be the main market driver.

Bell noted that investors are holding on to the positives, pointing out recent data such as housing market and consumer expenditure figures.

The market will not shoot to the stars, as this is a serious risk. Investors can ignore the possibility of a shutdown because, if one occurs, it will be resolved quickly, and the market can return to focusing on things that matter, such as earnings, monetary policies, and AI investments.

Burns McKinney of NFJ Investment Group, Dallas, Texas, said that while shutdowns do not tend to affect corporate results in the past, they may have limited Monday's gains and kept trading volumes low.

"The only way it could move the markets would be if it affected the bottom line. McKinney said that historically, shutdowns of the government are short and don't affect profitability. Investors tend to look ahead.

It's like the smoke on a racing track. "They just keep the wheels straight and manage through the stress, moving forward through the smoke."

The preliminary data shows that the S&P 500 rose 17.52 points or 0.26% to 6,661.22 while the Nasdaq Composite grew 107.99 or 0.48% to 22,592.06. The Dow Jones Industrial Average grew 69.42, or 0.15% to 46,316.71.

Investors also listened to Fed policymakers for any indications of concern about the possible loss of economic visibility if a shutdown occurred. Beth Hammack of the Cleveland Fed, one of the most hawkish Fed officials this year and who has not been a policy voter, stated on Monday that the central bank must maintain a restrictive monetary policy in order to cool the inflation. According to CME Group’s FedWatch tool, traders are pricing in an approximately 90% chance of a rate cut of 25 basis points at the next Fed Meeting.

The energy sector, which saw oil prices fall by more than 3% during the session, was the largest laggard of the 11 major industries sectors in the S&P 500.

Nvidia, the leader in AI chips, and Microsoft were amongst the top gainers. Electronic Arts shares rose after the game publisher agreed that it would be taken private for $55 billion, boosting hopes for wider deal prospects. Bell, of 248 Ventures said the transaction was "confirmation" that the M&A marketplace is open. Shares of Lam Research rose after Deutsche Bank upgraded its rating for the chip-making company to "buy" instead of "hold."

AppLovin has set a new record high and also provided one of the largest lifts to the S&P 500. Morgan Stanley increased the target price for the stock from $480 to $750. U.S. listed shares of cannabis companies rose after U.S. president Donald Trump shared on Sunday a video promoting the benefits of hemp-derived CBD. Canopy Growth, Cronos Group, and Tilray Brands all saw their shares rise. (Reporting and editing by Sriraj Kalluvila and Shilpa Majumdar in Bengaluru, Niket Gupta and Sukriti in Bengaluru, and Sinead carew in New York)

(source: Reuters)