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The third quarter of 2018 was both one of the best and worst in recent M&A history.

The third quarter of recent history was both one of best and worst for dealmakers around the world. According to Dealogic, megadeals generated a staggering $1.26 trillion worth of global mergers and purchases during the third-quarter - an increase of 40% over the previous year. This was the second best third-quarter ever by deal value. Data show that only 8,912 transactions were completed, a drop of 16% compared to last year. This is the lowest third-quarter deal volume for 20 years. Dealmakers are in a strange situation, as they had high hopes for 2025 following the election of Donald Trump. Trump's punishing Tariffs, which were unveiled on Liberation Day, and a continuing antitrust crackdown against Big Tech sent the markets soaring in the second quarter. Many corporations delayed M&A plans and IPOs while trade negotiations played out.

In recent months, a combination of pent-up demand from companies and new stock market highs has sparked a flurry big deals and IPOs that have saved an otherwise dormant year for the industry. Data show that fewer deals are being signed but the average deal size increased to $141.4m in the third quarter. This is up from $85.5m at the same time last.

In an interview, Naveen Nataraj said that as the year progressed there was a growing confidence that the tariff landscape would be in a place where people could navigate. Several large, high-profile initial public offerings, such as StubHub’s $800m IPO, and the buy-now, pay-later fintech firm Klarna’s $1.37bn trading debut, were withdrawn in April. These IPOs helped to revive the IPO markets earlier this month. Approximately 987 companies around the world have raised $115 billion through their IPOs this year. This is down by 24% and 9% from the same time last year.

Some IPOs in Europe are being done again. Martin Thorneycroft is the global co-head for equity capital markets at Morgan Stanley. He said that IPO issuance has been relatively low since September of last year because there haven't been many high-quality large-cap companies to come to market. Now we are beginning to see this. CHINA DELISTING THREATENS IN THE US IPOs in Asia and second listings were especially hot. This was particularly true on the Hong Stock Exchange, where on Tuesday the Chinese company Zijin Gold International raised $3.2 billion in its debut. Data from Dealogic shows that companies have raised $23 billion so far in Hong Kong this year. This is more than three-times the amount of money raised in the same period of 2024.

David Bauer, JPMorgan's co-head for equity capital markets in the Americas, stated that the bank will launch at least a dozen IPOs before Thanksgiving. PE firms have also started to launch more IPOs. Bauer stated that "deals are working, investors make money and a backlog of deals is beginning to grow." CRYPTO AND AI BOOM Crypto companies, and anything related to them, helped fuel the IPO boom in September. The industry benefited from Trump's easing up of regulations in the U.S. In its debut on September 10, stable coin issuer, Figure, raised $787.5 in an IPO which was both oversubscribed and increased in size. M&A deals and IPOs were dominated by anything related to AI, be it software, infrastructure, or chips. Dealogic didn't include the $100 billion investment by Nvidia in OpenAI in its league tables. However, other deals, such as CyberArk Software's $24.5 Billion acquisition of Palo Alto Networks in July, were included. This Israeli software company uses AI for network and cloud security. Camila Panama, an M&A partner at Mayer Brown, said that almost every client is considering AI as part of their M&A strategies, regardless of the industry. M&A: GOING FOR SCALE

The cross-border M&A market is also on the rise, with a 44% increase to $931 billion. This is the largest jump since 2021 and a record high.

Dealmakers claim that companies are aiming for scale. Dealmakers say that smaller deals below $500 million aren't resonating with investors anymore. Data show that 49 deals have been done over $10 billion this year, up 75% compared to the first nine month of last year. The $55 billion leveraged purchase of Electronic Arts on Monday was the largest deal in the third quarter. But it wasn't the only one. According to Dealogic, the largest deal of the quarter was Union Pacific's $88.18 Billion acquisition of Norfolk Southern in July.

(source: Reuters)