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Asia spot prices drop on tepid Demand

Asia spot prices for liquefied gas have been on the decline this week due to a tepid regional demand and ample supply.

The average LNG price in February for delivery to?Northeast Asia Industry sources reported that the price of natural gas was $9.50/million British thermal units (mmBtu), which is a?slightly? lower than $9.60/mmBtu in the previous week.

"Northeast Asian Demand continues to be weak despite a winter cold snap, with limited restocking on a spot-basis following weak demand in the power sector, with coal being preferred for most generation," Martin Senior, Argus' head of LNG pricing, said.

He added that some diverted to South Korea after the record low temperatures recorded in Seoul last month. The demand is likely to have backfilled stocks.

S&P Global Energy's daily Northwest Europe LNG Price Benchmark (NWM) for cargoes delivered by February was $9.112/mmBtu in?Europe on January 8th. This is a $0.515/mmBtu reduction from the price at the TTF Hub. The lower temperatures increased LNG consumption and Europe relied on spot cargoes as it had less gas storage. Argus estimated the price to be $8.98/mmBtu while Spark Commodities put it at $9.459/mmBtu.

Hans Van Cleef is the head of EqoLibrium's energy research. He said that while temperatures are still lower than the long-term norm in many parts of Europe, it seems likely they will rise next week.

He said that as a result of this, the expected gas demand related to temperature is decreasing.

Commercial operators also exited their long positions due to the depletion of gas storage, which could lead to a harder time obtaining refills during injection season. According to independent gas analyst Seb K Kennedy, investment funds reduced net short positions on TTF futures as 'colder weather, low volume trading and colder weather pushed up prices for prompt'.

Qasim Afghanistan, Spark Commodities analyst, reported that LNG freight rates in the Atlantic fell for the sixth consecutive week, to $48,000/day. Meanwhile, rates in Pacific dropped to $44,250/day.

Afghan said that the U.S. front month arbitrage for Northeast Asia via Cape of Good Hope was more strongly pointing towards Europe due to a decline in the JKM/TTF spread.

(source: Reuters)