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Analysts say that the decline in copper from its record high is due to a weakening demand and rising stocks.

Analysts said that the near 9% decline in copper prices over the past two days is a return to "reality" for a market, whose recent surge of record highs was 'ahead of?the fundamentals. More losses are likely.

They say that weak demand, increasing stockpiles and the possibility of increased supplies made it clear that copper's record-breaking rally last Thursday to $14,527.50 per metric ton was not sustainable.

Alice Fox, Macquarie's analyst, said that prices had risen far beyond the fundamentals. "Investors were rushing into the market and pushing up prices", she added. "We believe the market was in a global surplus of around 600,000 tons last year."

Fox said that copper prices were still too high and should be below $11,000 per ton to reflect the fundamentals.

Prices fall to a three-week low

Last week, the price of metal used in wiring to conduct electricity was well above analysts' estimates for what is required to encourage investment in new production.

Investors retreated after the?U.S. The dollar rose after President Donald Trump appointed?Kevin Warsh to be the next chairman of the Federal Reserve.

Copper bulls are also weakened by the macro-picture. Trump's trade wars and tariffs have put pressure on manufacturing around the globe over the last year.

The factory activity in certain parts of the globe expanded in January. This gives policymakers some comfort that the impact of higher U.S. Tariffs is over for the moment. However, the growth came from a very low base, and it followed months of declining activity.

The Lunar New Year holidays in China in mid-February are also expected to bring an end to industrial activity in the country, which consumed more than half of the global copper production this year estimated at 26 million tons.

The increase in copper prices in the past year was largely due to disruptions in mined supplies. This included accidents in Indonesia and Chile. Production ramp-ups in mines in Zambia and Mongolia will likely mean more copper this year.

MARKET NOT 'HISTORICALLY OUT ?OF BALANCE'

Natalie Scott-Gray, StoneX analyst, said: "We still don't see the market historically as out of balance."

"And while supply risks outweigh the slowdown in demand, fundamentals do not support copper's current levels."

Stocks at the London Metal Exchange are another sign of low demand. Shanghai Futures Exchange Comex The number of registered warehouses has more than doubled in the last few months, with a combined total of more than 930,000 tonnes. (Reporting and editing by Jan Harvey; Pratima Dasai)

(source: Reuters)