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Azeri BTC's daily oil exports for November are expected to increase by 3% m/m.
The differential between Brent and Urals crudes dated on Wednesday remained unchanged, but the Azeri BTC plan for exports from Turkey's Ceyhan Port in November was set at 15,3 million barrels compared to the 15.4 million barrels exported in October. Calculations showed that Azeri BTC crude exports would increase by approximately 3% per day in November compared to October. Alexander Novak, Deputy Premier of Russia, said that the country has gradually increased its oil production. It was very close to achieving the output quota set by OPEC+ last month. PLATTS WINDOW There were no bids or offerings reported on the Platts Window for Urals, Azeri BTC Blend or CPC blend crudes on Wednesday. According to sources, the U.S. delayed sanctions against Serbia's Russian owned NIS oil company that runs Serbia's sole oil refinery for a week, until October 15. The Nova Ekonomija portal in Belgrade reported this on Wednesday. (Reporting and editing by Kirsten Doovan)
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Brazil will not be introducing free public transportation soon, the chief of staff to the president says
Rui Costa said that the Brazilian president's chief of staff has no plans for the government to eliminate the public transport fares in Brazil this year or the next. This comes a day after Brazil's finance minister confirmed the results of studies assessing ways to fund the sector. Costa told a local radio station that there was no plan for this or next year. "I would like to be clear that the president has only asked for studies." A government source said that there were doubts about the logistical and the political feasibility of this proposal. Source: President Luiz inacio Lula da So has asked his economic team for an evaluation of the possible implementation of the measure. However, he is not in a hurry and doesn't intend to make it a part campaign promise. Costa said that the studies would be presented to President Obama so he could assess if the project was feasible and from where the money would come. If it is viable, the announcement will come at the right time. In an interview this week with Record TV, Finance Minister Fernando Haddad stated that the proposal will be included in Lula’s policy platform in Brazil next year when it holds its general elections. Haddad stated that "(Lula), knows this issue is very important for workers, environmental protection, and urban mobility." Investors' fears that the initiative might have negative fiscal consequences have caused the finance minister's comments to influence Brazilian markets. Reporting by Lisandra Parguassu, Writing by Fernando Cardoso, Editing by Rod Nickel
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ADNOC to pay out $43 billion as dividends to its subsidiaries by 2030
Abu Dhabi National Oil Company announced on Wednesday that six of its publicly listed subsidiaries would distribute 158 billion Dirhams ($43.02billion) in dividends between 2030 and 2035. ADNOC stated that the target amount is almost double the 86 billion dollars in dividends that the six subsidiaries collectively paid since ADNOC Distribution was listed in 2017 via an initial public offer. ADNOC has raised billions by selling stakes to its subsidiaries. It aims to be the top three petrochemical company in the world and top five gas company. Last year, it established the international investment arm XRG to help achieve these goals. ADNOC Gas and ADNOC Logistics & Services will also join ADNOC Drilling to pay quarterly dividends, providing more frequent returns for investors. ADNOC announced the news at an investor presentation of its listed subsidiaries. This was the first event that the group held. ADNOC Gas also announced that it had signed a 20 year gas supply contract with Ruwais LNG, valued at 147 billion Dirhams ($40 billion), to provide feedstock to the new LNG plant. The plant is expected to start production in 2028. It will more than double ADNOC’s LNG capacity. ADNOC said the merger between ADNOC and OMV, petrochemical companies Borouge and Borealis to create Borouge Group International is expected to be completed in the first quarter 2026. ADNOC and OMV have secured financing from global banks to finance the deal worth 56.6 billion Dirhams. This includes the acquisition of Nova Chemicals. ADNOC reported that BGI's deal with the companies will generate annual benefits worth 1.8 billion dirhams. The new entity will be the fourth largest polyolefins company in the world.
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Airbus delivered 507 jets during the first nine months
Airbus announced on Wednesday that it has delivered 507 aircraft in the first nine-month period. The fourth quarter will see 313 additional planes being delivered to meet the full-year goal of 820. In a sign that engine supply has improved, the world's biggest planemaker confirmed that it delivered 73 jets to customers in September. This was a record number for this month. Airbus' spokesperson confirmed that the number of gliders - or fully assembled aircraft waiting to be powered - had decreased from the peak of 60 reported earlier this year. However, the spokesperson did not provide a new estimate. The drop in gliders and the jump in September deliveries, from 50 last year to just 25 this month, suggest that the arrival of engines has accelerated in recent weeks after being affected by the recent strike at CFM supplier as well as the competing demand for spare engine from airlines. (Reporting and editing by Kirsten Doovan; Tim Hepher)
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Ryanair, a major Boeing customer, will see 737 production reach 48 units per month in April.
Ryanair, a major Boeing customer, said that it is confident that the U.S. aircraft manufacturer will be granted permission to increase the monthly production rate for its flagship 737 to 42 by October and to 48 by March orApril next year. Boeing, Boeing's biggest European customer, has repeatedly had to cut its growth forecasts because of delays. Boeing is currently working to stabilize production following a mid-air blowout panel on a new 737 MAX that occurred in January 2024. This exposed widespread quality and safety issues. Michael O'Leary is the Chief Executive Officer of Ryanair Group. His team regularly meets with Boeing management. He said he felt "fairly confident," that the U.S. Federal Aviation Administration will approve an increase in production monthly from 38 to 42 aircraft in October. RYANAIR - 'Pretty Confident' about progress at Boeing Will the FAA allow them to move to rating 48 next March or April? That would be a big jump. He said in an interview that he was "pretty confident" this would happen. After the panel explosion, the FAA capped 737 MAX output at 38 per months in early 2024. On September 26, it said that Boeing has not requested a rate hike, but if they did, FAA safety inspectors on site would do extensive reviews. Boeing stated earlier in the month that there were no supply chain issues that would prevent it from increasing monthly 737MAX production to 42 by the end of the year. Boeing's other major concern is when the MAX 7 and MAX 10 will be approved by regulators. Ryanair has placed 150 MAX 10 firm orders. Will they be able to get the MAX 7 or MAX 10 certified by 2026? Boeing tells us that they are now confident in the certification process. O'Leary, while praising recent achievements at Boeing and expressing his gratitude for them, said that there are no guarantees. He said, "We're confident but there is still a chance that it will be disrupted." Corina Pons is the reporter. Conor Humphries wrote the article. David Latona, Mark Potter and Mark Potter (Editing)
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As the shutdown continues, airlines prepare for a third day of flight delays
The major U.S. carriers are bracing themselves for a third consecutive day of delays as the U.S. Federal Aviation Administration continues to face staffing problems for air traffic control as the stalemate regarding funding for the government continues. Nearly 10,000 flights were delayed on Monday and Tuesday. Many of these delays were caused by the FAA slowing down flights due to air traffic controllers absences in facilities all over the country, as the shutdown entered its eighth day. The air traffic control shortages during the shutdown are more severe than during the last major government funding halt in 2019, which occurred during U.S. President Donald Trump's second term. Maryland Governor Wes Moore, along with congressional Democrats, called on Wednesday for an end to the airport shutdown at Baltimore-Washington International Airport. They noted that air traffic control officers and Transportation Security Administration agents are working without being paid. Moore, a Democrat from Maryland, stated that President Trump was unable to "close a deal" in order to keep the federal government open. Kwiesi mfume (Democrat) called for supplemental laws that would pay air traffic control during a shut down. He said that people are starting to be concerned about flying, and as a country we shouldn't get to this point. During a 35-day government shutdown in 2019, the number of controllers and TSA agents absent increased as they missed paychecks. This led to longer waits at checkpoints. The authorities were forced to reduce air traffic in New York. This put pressure on legislators to end the standoff quickly. They are not paid. During the shutdown of the federal government, 13,000 air traffic control officers and 50,000 Transportation Security Administration (TSA) officers still have to report for work. The controllers will receive a partial pay on October 14, for work done before the shutdown. Moore stated, "Our BWI employees are still here." Moore said, "They do it because they are patriots." They do it because they understand the importance of their work. Sean Duffy, Transportation Secretary, said that since the FAA shutdown began last week there has been a slight rise in sick leave. Staffing in certain areas of air traffic has also decreased by half. Air traffic control shortages have been a problem in the U.S. for over ten years. Many controllers were working six-day work weeks and mandatory overtime even before this shutdown. About 3,500 air traffic control positions are not enough to meet the FAA's target staffing levels.
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Container traffic at Rotterdam's port is disrupted by a strike by lashers for higher wages
On Wednesday afternoon, the largest seaport in Europe, Rotterdam, went on strike for 48 hours to demand higher salaries. Meanwhile in the neighbouring Belgian port's main port Flemish harbourpilots were protesting pension reforms. The FNV union said that all workers of International Lashing Services (ILS) and Matrans Marine Services (Matrans Marine Services), the two lashing firms active in the Dutch ports, stopped working at 3:15 pm (1310 GMT), and will continue their strike to the same time Friday. The FNV stated that during the two-day strike, no container ships can be unloaded or loaded at the port while lashers are securing the ship's cargo. Niek Stam, FNV's spokesman, said: "Without lashers, the entire port grinds to an halt." The Rotterdam Port Authority said that the strike would certainly affect traffic but it is too early to estimate its impact. International Lashing Services and Matrans Marine Service were not available for immediate comment. Port authorities in Belgium have reported that the maritime traffic at Antwerp-Bruges was severely disrupted for four days by Flemish harbourpilots who were protesting federal pension reforms. The port of Antwerp, which normally processes 60-80 ships per day, only processed 31 vessels on February 2, with some delayed or stranded, and others headed to other destinations.
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Ryanair CEO: airline is on track to recover from last year's 7 percent fare decrease
Michael O'Leary, the Chief Executive of Irish budget airline Ryanair, told reporters in Madrid that it believes it will recover its 7% decline in fares from 2024 during this financial year. "The traffic has exceeded the target...Fares are expected to rise by 7% over the course of the year," O'Leary stated, adding that this summer's prices were "pretty close" to those of the summer of 2023. The CEO stated that the full-year results will depend on the pricing of the company's third-quarter, which includes Christmas, and the fourth-quarter, for which the company currently has "very little visibility". He said that the economic weakness in Britain, France and Germany was causing price sensitivities. This led consumers to switch to Ryanair over flag carriers such as British Airways or Air France. O'Leary stated that "there is less demand to travel across the Atlantic to America at the moment - (U.S. president Donald) Trump alienated people. More people are choosing to holiday in the Mediterranean or Europe and this has been good for Ryanair's businesses." (Reporting and writing by Corina Poons; editing by Kirsten Doovan)
New horizons however same old problems for LME warehousing: Andy Home
The London Metal Exchange ( LME) has actually just listed the Saudi Arabian port of Jeddah as a great delivery area for copper and zinc. This addition to the LME's global delivery network, which ends up being reliable three months after the approval of the very first warehouse, is the first new listing considering that Amsterdam in 2018. The exchange is likewise checking out the possibility of including Hong Kong to the list, no doubt hoping that its owner Hong Kong Exchanges and Cleaning (HKEx) can assist overcome the Chinese authorities' historic resistance to LME warehouses.
New areas might provide a booster for a warehouse network that has seen capacity contract and the variety of operators decline over the last ten years.
Nevertheless, old issues continue.
There was a 253-day line to load aluminium out of LME warehouses in Malaysia's Port Klang at the end of June, the longest waiting time considering that November 2016.
The LME storage organization likewise remains extremely concentrated with 4 dominant operators, a prospective problem when among them is dealing with an unsure future.
SHRINKING SPACE
Total LME signed up storage capability at the end of June was 3.3 million square metres, down from 4.3 million three years ago.
The pace of net shrinking slowed to 44,000 square metres over the last year and the downtrend shows indications of bottoming out. The number of registered storage facilities grew by 15 units to 468 after being up to a multi-year low in June 2023.
The three-year decline in registered capacity reflected a. duration of low exchange stocks as combined called for and shadow. off-warrant stock fell below one million metric tons over. the second half of 2022.
Stocks have considering that increased to 2.3 million since completion of May,. although inflows have actually been securely concentrated on simply a. handful of places. Russian aluminium has built up in the South Korean port of. Gwangyang, while non-Russian aluminium has been dumped in Port. Klang. This year's heavy inflows of both lead and zinc have. mostly ended up at Singapore warehouses.
All 3 places have bucked the trend of declining. storage capacity over the in 2015 and ISTIM UK Ltd's. extra 11 warehouse systems at Port Klang were the single. biggest part of the wider year-on-year increase.
SIGN UP WITH THE QUEUE
Rent-sharing is the common measure behind this year's. big deliveries of metal into the LME system. Such offers enable. the entity that calls for the metal to make a piece of the future. rental earnings.
The purchaser of that metal might be naturally hesitant to. pay rent to a prospective competitor but the only method to leave. the contract is to physically fill the metal out and provide it. to another warehouse business.
The bigger the initial warranting, the higher the. potential for a line. ISTIM warehouses in Port Klang received. 652,525 tons of aluminium in May. The cancellations started practically. instantly as buyers looked to move their metal. ISTIM had. 505,050 tons awaiting physical load-out by the end of June.
It's an echo of the 2010s, when the LME's load-out issues. triggered user outrage and drew the unwelcome attention of U.S. regulators, who would like to know why it would take 702 days to. take physical delivery from LME warehouses in Detroit.
Subsequent reforms to the LME system imply that such. self-perpetuating super-queues are no longer possible. What we. get now are what the exchange calls functional lines.
Which might not be much convenience for those late to the. aluminium logjam in Malaysia. They're not likely to see their. metal up until this time next year.
DOMINANT FOUR
ISTIM's capability to draw in such big tonnages to its. warehouses has actually made it a dominant presence in the LME delivery. system. The company was keeping 55% of all necessitated LME stocks. at the end of June.
The other 3 major gamers are Access World, C. Steinweg. and the Pacorini Group. In between them they were saving 92% of. total stock at the end of June and they presently account. for 344 of the overall 468 systems listed internationally.
This is likewise a throw-back to the last decade, when Metro. International, then owned by Goldman Sachs,. industrialised the queue model and constructed a dominant LME storage. position in Detroit.
Access World, gotten by Glencore in 2010, did the. exact same in the Dutch port of Vlissingen, creating a load-out. line of 771 days at one phase.
Smaller sized operators struggled to contend then, and clearly. they still do. Numerous who signed up with the LME warehouse company in. hope of getting a piece of the line action in the 2010s have. considering that withdrawn.
The variety of LME-registered warehouse operators has. declined from 36 to 25 over the last five years and that. consists of 9 that use LME services in a single location.
STORAGE FACILITY FOR (RE) SALE
The unsure status of Access World highlights the problems. that can be caused when LME stocks are focused in such a. small swimming pool of warehouse operators.
Glencore believed it had actually offered the business to Global Capital. Merchants (GCM), a company registered in the British Virgin. Islands, in 2022. Nevertheless, Access World is back on the sales block after the. purchasers stopped working to make full payment and Glencore is reportedly. hunting for new prospective owners.
Gain access to World warehouses held practically 12% of LME on-warrant. stocks at the end of June.
A DECADE OF REFORM
The LME, to its credit, has invested a great deal of time and effort. attempting to ravel the numerous wrinkles in its delivery system,. which - like whatever else on the 147-year-old exchange - is. rather unique from what you would discover in any other futures. market.
The queues have actually never ever truly disappeared however several tweaks. of the rule-book have at least constrained them and the amount. of cash that can be made from them.
The exchange has actually likewise massively boosted transparency around. its delivery network. A day-to-day registered stocks report has been. supplemented with month-to-month updates on off-warrant stocks, stocks. by warehouse operator and, obviously, queue length. This column. has actually drawn heavily on all of them.
Yet, simply just how much more efficient is the LME's shipment. network after a decade of reform?
A restricted number of operators still appear to control the. on-warrant storage service and 253 days is still a long time to. wait to get your metal.
The viewpoints expressed here are those of the author, a. columnist
(source: Reuters)