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Asian area LNG stable on warmer than average temperature projections

Asian area melted gas (LNG) costs held consistent this week as projections of warmerthanaverage temperature levels in both northeast Asia and northwest Europe topped need expectations.

The average LNG rate for December shipment into north-east Asia << LNG-AS > was at $13.80 per million British thermal units (mmBtu), industry sources estimated.

The weather forecast in Europe points to a rather mild start to November, which is even more depressing heating demand, said Florence Schmit, energy strategist at Rabobank London.

Weather report for some parts of northeast Asia also indicate temperatures above 10-year averages in the coming 2 weeks, dismal gas need in the area as well, she stated, including that this indicate bearish price movements for European gas and Asian LNG rates in the coming weeks.

While Seoul and Shanghai had actually been anticipated for normal temperature levels as the conventional heating season gets underway, the projections were revised to above-average, said Argus head of LNG prices Sam Good, while expectations for below-average temperatures in Beijing and Tokyo were mostly wiped.

There was some widening of the European DES-TTF spreads this week, reflecting weak Asian need for Atlantic freights as purchasing interest has trailed off and high prices limit extra purchases, but they primarily tightened up once again later on in the week as European gas centers moved, he stated, describing the rate spread in between delivered LNG and Dutch TTF hub gas.

In Europe, S&P Global Product Insights assessed its everyday North West Europe LNG Marker ( NWM) price benchmark for freights delivered in December on an ex-ship (DES) basis at $ 12.664/ mmBtu on Oct. 31, a $0.20/ mmBtu discount to the December gas price at the Dutch TTF center.

Argus evaluated the price for December delivery at $12.650/ mmBtu, while Spark Commodities assessed it at $12.699/ mmBtu.

In LNG freight, the Atlantic rates dropped to record lows on Friday to $18,250/ day, said Spark Commodities analyst Qasim Afghan.

The Pacific rates likewise fell, extending its decreases for a twelfth straight week to $30,500/ day.

(source: Reuters)