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Asia area rates acquire amidst Russia-Ukraine gas transit concerns

Asian area liquefied gas (LNG) costs gained today, the very first increase after 3 weekly declines, as the imminent expiry of a transit offer for Russian gas through Ukraine to Europe provided support to costs.

The average LNG price for February shipment into north-east Asia << LNG-AS > was $14.10 per million British thermal units ( mmBtu), up 6% from $13.30/ mmBtu last week, industry sources estimated.

Asian LNG costs have gotten 20% this year and averaged $ 11.97/ mmBtu in 2024.

The most significant thing individuals are keeping an eye on is TTF's. upward motion, said Masanori Odaka, senior analyst at Rystad. Energy, referring to the Dutch Title Transfer Center (TTF). hub.

He included that some industry participants were taking the. expiry of a Russia-Ukraine gas transit agreement at the end of. this year as bullish news.

Russian gas supply into Europe might impact rates on the. TTF, which also has an influence on Asia LNG rates.

Russian President Vladimir Putin said on Thursday there was. no time at all left this year to sign a new Ukrainian gas transit offer,. and blamed Ukraine for refusing to extend the contract that. also brings gas to Slovakia, the Czech Republic and Austria.

The other thing is a cold front capacity in the U.S. which. might end in a deep freeze like it performed in 2021, Rystad's Odaka. added.

Asia seems relatively well equipped, so second-rate to. typical winter season will not likely trigger China, Korea or Japan to purchase. considerable volumes in the area market.

In Europe, delivered costs turned higher this week, mainly. on ongoing uncertainty about the contract to continue gas. transit to Europe through Ukraine after the existing deal. expires, stated Martin Senior, head of LNG rates at product. pricing company Argus.

Weak wind generation projections in northwest Europe throughout. the Christmas break and into the weekend also supported. gas-fired generation demand, he included.

S&P Global Commodity Insights examined its everyday North West. Europe LNG Marker (NWM) cost criteria for cargoes delivered in. February on an ex-ship (DES) basis at $13.76/ mmBtu on Dec. 24, a. $ 0.20/ mmBtu discount rate to the February gas cost at the Dutch TTF. hub.

Argus evaluated the rate at $13.745/ mmBtu, while Spark. Products examined the price for January shipment at. $ 13.753/ mmBtu.

The U.S. arbitrage to Northeast Asia by means of the Cape of Good. Hope for January is still currently closed due to the recent TTF. rally, providing more incentive for U.S. cargos to provide to. Northwest Europe instead, said Glow Commodities expert Qasim. Afghan.

In LNG freight, Atlantic rates held constant at $23,500/ day,. while Pacific rates fell to $21,500/ day, added Afghan.

(source: Reuters)