Latest News
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CANADA-CRUDE-Discount on Western Canada Select narrows slightly
On Thursday, the discount between West Texas Intermediate and Western Canada Select futures (the North American benchmark) decreased slightly. WCS for Hardisty, Alberta delivery in December settled at $11.65 per barrel, which is $1.65 below the U.S. benchmark WTI. This was down from $11.70 a barrel on Thursday. Michael Berger, Enverus analyst, stated that Canadian crude storage levels are below the average for the past five years. Trans Mountain, the pipeline that exports Canadian crude via the Pacific Coast to U.S. markets and Asian ones, has not been apportioned in November. This is another factor contributing to the narrow differential. The industry uses the term apportionment to describe when demand for space on pipelines exceeds its capacity. Berger says it is more difficult to predict the WCS discount over the long-term because of the possibility that policy and regulatory changes could occur in Canada, which would encourage oil producers to increase their production. * Oil prices in the global market rose by more than 2% on Friday, as Russia's Novorossiisk port halted exports of oil following an attack by a Ukrainian drone that targeted a depot at Russia's energy hub. This sparked supply concerns. (Reporting from Amanda Stephenson, Calgary; Editing and proofreading by Tasim Zaid)
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Cheniere expects US LNG plants to use 40 bcf per day of natural gas in the coming years
Anatol Feyegin, Chief Commercial Officer at Cheniere Energy, said that U.S. LNG plants may be able to take up as much as 40 billion cubic feet of natural gases per day over the next few years. According to LSEG data, U.S. LNG plants are using a record amount of natural gas (18 bcfd) to produce LNG. Feygin, speaking at a Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City seminar, said that the increased demand for gas liquefaction may lead to higher natural gas prices. Prices have risen by 62% in the last year and could become even more costly towards the end of this decade. "You saw it in 22/23 when COVID came out. LNG returned to full utilization, and then increased. Nymex saw an increase in the single digits. Feygin stated that the supply would respond very quickly, indicating that drillers could increase production to meet increased demand. The executive stated that there is concern about a glut of LNG as more capacity is added. However, he said that Asian countries like Bangladesh and Pakistan may be drawn in by the lower prices to increase demand. Feygin stated that the world will need 30 million metric tonnes of LNG each year to meet the global demand growth. The majority of this new capacity will come from the U.S. He said that rising construction costs were behind some of the final investment decisions made in U.S. LNG. Feygin explained that "more than two-thirds" of the FID in this year were completed because fixed-priced EPC contract expires soon and the rush was on to keep the cost of construction of the LNG plant low. Feygin stated that the U.S. gas sector could produce up to 300 mtpa. However, he acknowledged that this rapid growth could be a challenge for some producers who are not prepared to deal with periods of low prices. He warned that only 17% of new capacity from plants which reached FID in this year had been sold on long-term contracts. Many portfolio players were unprepared. Curtis Williams, Houston (Reporting) and Leslie Adler Nathan Crooks Edmund Klmaann edited the article.
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Republican state AGs express concerns over Union Pacific's deal with Norfolk Southern
Nine Republican attorneys general raised concerns on Friday about Union Pacific's plans to purchase smaller rival Norfolk Southern for $85 billion, creating the first U.S. Coast-to-Coast freight rail operator. In a letter sent to the Surface Transportation Board by Tennessee Attorney-General Jonathan Skrmetti, and Kansas Attorney-General Kris Kobach that was seen by, the officials expressed concern about the deal, which they said would result in "undue market consolidation" and "stifle competition, resulting in higher prices, less reliability and less innovation, at the expense America's producers and consumers." If approved, the tie-up could help reshape U.S. freight railroad industry, streamline operations, and eliminate interchange delays at key hubs such as Chicago. Attorneys general from Ohio, Florida and other states, including North Dakota, South Dakota Mississippi, Montana, and Iowa, said that the merger could lead to high shipping costs, which could "kneecap American manufacturers' ability compete with foreign companies." The group also stated that "the downstream impact of the merger poses a significant risk, not only for our industrial base, but also for our agricultural producers." This merger, in the end, could compromise our national safety. Union Pacific responded on Friday by saying that it is looking forward to submitting their application to the STB to "detail how this combination will be good for America, meet the threshold to advance public interest and increase competition." The railroad said it has won the support of key unions as well as others in order to "ensure that rail is not forgotten." Norfolk Southern has not yet commented. The railroads announced earlier on Friday that over 99% of both companies' shareholders voted for the merger. The STB could take between 12 and 18 months to review the deal. Railroads have been struggling with the volatile nature of freight volumes, increasing labor and fuel prices, and increased pressure from shippers regarding service reliability. After meeting with Union Pacific CEO Jim Vena in September to discuss the largest U.S. railroad merger for decades, Donald Trump stated that the merger "sounds great to me". Union Pacific is the dominant freight rail carrier in Western United States. Norfolk Southern, on the other hand, is the leading carrier in Eastern United States. Together, the two railroads form one of four major U.S. class I railroads along with BNSF Railway, CSX Corp and BNSF Railway.
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White House claims that Alibaba is assisting Chinese military to target US, reports FT
Financial Times reported on Friday that Washington accused the online marketplace Alibaba of providing technology support to Chinese military operations targeting targets in the United States. The memo was cited by the White House. The FT reported that the national security memo contains declassified top-secret intelligence about how the Chinese group provides the People's Liberation Army (PLA) with capabilities the White House believes could threaten U.S. Security. The report didn't specify what capabilities or operations are involved or if the U.S. is trying to respond. Alibaba shares in the U.S. fell 4.2% following the news. Alibaba issued a statement saying that "the assertions and innuendos contained in the article were completely false." "We doubt the motivation behind this anonymous leak which The FT admits they can't verify. This malicious PR campaign clearly came from an rogue voice that was looking to undermine President Trump’s recent trade agreement with China. The Chinese Embassy in Washington has not responded to an immediate request for comment. (Reporting and editing by Susan Heavey, Matthew Lewis, and Jasper Ward from Washington)
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Airlines urge FAA to stop flight cuts because controllers are paid
After the government shutdown ended, major U.S. Airlines are asking the Federal Aviation Administration (FAA) to remove the mandatory 6% domestic flight reductions at 40 major airports. The cuts were imposed in order to address safety concerns regarding air traffic. The FAA's order, which requires far more drastic cuts, is not being followed by most airlines. Cirium, a firm that provides aviation analytics, reported airlines cancelled just 2% of flights on Friday, down from 3.5% Wednesday and Thursday. The FAA and union officials announced that air traffic controllers, and other FAA staff, began receiving their back pay on Friday. This is equal to approximately 70% of the amount they owe, excluding overtime. Officials told that airlines have privately argued to the FAA to stop the cuts, and some plan to cancel few or no flights this Saturday. After Congress voted for reopening the government following a 43-day shut down, FAA decided to reduce those cancellations on Wednesday. The FAA did not increase the cuts to 8% or 10% as announced previously. Instead, they remained at 6%. Transportation Secretary Sean Duffy stated Friday that only a handful of controllers had been absent on Thursday, as operations have improved dramatically. Duffy stated, "We are reviewing the data and working hard to restore the airspace to normal." Separately, on Friday, a group led by Rick Larsen (the ranking member of Transportation and Infrastructure Committee) asked the administration to provide specific safety data and compare it to the previous six months. The Democrats said that it appeared the administration took this decision without consulting key aviation stakeholders. United Airlines announced that it had cancelled 134 flights for the Friday after canceling 222 flights Thursday. There are about 3,500 fewer air traffic controllers than the FAA needs to meet its target staffing levels. Before the shutdown, many had already been working six-day weekends and mandatory overtime. Since October 1, when the 43 day shutdown began, there have been tens or thousands of cancellations and delays in air traffic. (Reporting and editing by David Shepardson, William Maclean.)
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Lukoil Moldova grants free fuel use to the government in spite of US sanctions
The Moldovan energy minister announced on Friday that Lukoil Moldova has agreed to give the government of Moldova free access to its fuel terminal located at the airport in Chisinau. Energy Minister Dorin Junietu stated in a press release that the move was made to ensure stable airport operations when U.S. Sanctions against the Russian owned company come into effect later this month. The U.S. sanctions against Lukoil and Rosneft were linked to the Russian war in Ukraine. The company is the only supplier of fuel to Eugen Doga Airport, Moldova's sole airport. Moldova's pro European authorities announced this week that they have proposed to buy the airport infrastructure of the firm, including storage facilities, in order to guarantee aviation fuel supplies in the country located between Ukraine and Romania. Junghietu said on Friday that the government had reached an agreement to supply fuel at the airport with a Romanian firm in the near future.
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CMA CGM warns of a tough year as the shipping industry faces overcapacity and falling demand
French group CMA CGM warned on Friday that the container shipping industry faces a difficult year, as new vessels increase capacity, while demand is slowing. Early orders for 2025 are being driven by trade tensions. CMA CGM reported core EBITDA of $2.96bn for the third quarter, which is the same as the previous quarter but down 40.5% from a year ago. This was down by 40.5% compared to a year ago, but an increase from the prior quarter as volumes recovered after a stoppage in April of China-U.S. Trade due to a tariff dispute. Ramon Fernandez said that the group, which is controlled by the Saade Family, expects its fourth-quarter results will be below those of the third quarter due to the falling freight rates. This could lead to a difficult shipping environment in 2026, Ramon Fernandez added. He said: "We anticipate that freight rates will continue to normalise as there is less demand, and capacity increases due to new vessels being delivered. There may also be a reopening the Suez route in 2026." Maersk and other rivals have warned about the pressure of falling freight rates. The disruption to shipping in the Red Sea and Suez Canal due to attacks by Houthi Rebels in Yemen has reduced capacity. Ships are now taking a longer journey around southern Africa. The Houthis' claim that they targeted vessels because of a ceasefire in Gaza, a war which the Houthis blamed on the Houthis, has raised hopes for resuming normal traffic. Fernandez stated that CMA CGM will continue to maintain limited transits through Suez as long as security permits. The tensions between Washington, DC and Beijing have also affected the industry. Both sides announced that they would charge port fees for vessels that had ties to the other nation. CMA CGM reorganised their fleet to avoid these fees. Fernandez stated that the company has no plans to change its fleet after the port charges were suspended for one year. Fernandez said that the company had contributed to the rising supply of ships and, based on the current orders, will surpass Maersk by the end 2027 as the second largest container line in the world based upon capacity. CMA CGM, along with the Saade Family, have pursued diversification in logistics, port terminals, and non-transport related activities. This includes the acquisition of Carrefour, Europe's biggest food retailer.
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Sources say that Italy's Snam is set to cancel German gas deal due to Berlin's concerns over China
Sources say that Italian gas grid operator Snam will abandon its plans to acquire a minority stake of Germany's largest independent transmission company, despite the German Economy Ministry's opposition. Two sources with knowledge of the situation said that Berlin's concern over the 920 million-euro ($1.1billion) deal stems from China's State Grid being an indirect shareholder in Snam. Germany's Economy Ministry, which is in charge of foreign direct investment clearances, has been reviewing this deal since it was agreed on in April. The German government's reluctance to sign the deal reflects a more aggressive stance taken by European governments against Chinese investments in Europe because of security concerns. The German Economy Ministry declined to comment. Snam did not respond to a request for comment. State Grid holds 35% of CDP Reti - an investment vehicle controlled and managed by Italian state lender CDP - which, in turn, owns 31.4% Snam. This gives the Chinese state owned group the right of appointment a representative to the board of Italian gas grid operator. The Italian group has agreed to buy Open Grid Europe for 24.99% in April, with the aim of entering the largest gas market in Europe, Germany. Germany has extended its review of the transaction and asked for additional documentation from the Italian Group. Luca Passa, Snam's Chief Finance Officer, said this month that the company hoped for a German decision by November 17th when the extended deadline for finalising the acquisition expires. Agostino Scrnajenchi, CEO of the Group, had previously indicated that the group would not pursue acquisitions "come hell and high water" during the lengthy approval process. Germany has blocked China's State Grid from buying a stake in the power grid operator 50Hertz.
Last-minute bargain hunters send vacation retail sales higher than last year, Mastercard says
Priceconscious vacation buyers opened their wallets for lastminute online discounts on clothing and stocking stuffers, potentially benefiting sellers that also offered such hassle-free options as complimentary delivery and curbside pickup.
The appeal of online shopping has actually risen due to its convenience, similar or lower costs than in-store, the availability of services like purchase online, get in-store ( BOPIS) and quick, free shipments, stated Michael Schulman, a. retail expert at Running Point Capital Advisors.
The shortened holidays this year compared to. last year, with a tighter scrunch in between Thanksgiving and. Christmas, also left less time for in-store retail shopping and. most likely incentivized more phone and computer surfing and. purchases, he said.
While there were offers aplenty, merchants appeared to have. been disciplined with promos. Target and Dollar. Tree's shares were up almost 3% in noon trading, while Walmart. was flat.
According to a Mastercard SpendingPulse report, online. costs throughout the holiday shopping period from Nov. 1 to Dec. 24 grew by 6.7% over in 2015, compared to a 2.9% increase for. in-store sales.
This added to a total costs increase of 3.8% over. 2023, going beyond the formerly forecast increase of 3.2% and. topping the 3.1% increase during the exact same duration in 2015.
Steve Sadove, senior advisor to Mastercard and previous Saks. CEO and chairman, told Reuters that spending rose even when. higher rates due to inflation were factored in. He kept in mind that. the last five days of the holiday season accounted for 10% of. all vacation spending, showing a lot of strength in the end.
With just 27 days in between Thanksgiving and Christmas-- five. less than last year - retail executives were less exuberant. going into the holiday season.
They explained their customers as selective, mindful. and conservative, and making needs-based purchases. As a. outcome, lots of sellers doubled down on cutting prices and. offering promotions, Bernstein experts said previously this month.
Walmart said it would continue to lower rates. through rollbacks, while competing Target said it would. increase its promotional strength as buyers were not as. engaged without promotions. Dollar General said it. anticipates profits to be pressured from increased promotions in the. fourth quarter, while Kroger and Five Below likewise. stated they had to lower costs to be competitive.
Walmart and Target spent more on ads to reach consumers on. short-video app TikTok and streaming platforms like Peacock and. Hulu during the season, highlighting their membership programs. that deal fast delivery and BOPIS.
Some of these efforts appear to have actually worked.
Salesforce estimated that the number of BOPIS orders could. double throughout the weekend before Christmas, comprising nearly 40%. of all online orders for sellers. And deliveries are also. strong, with FedEx estimating stronger-than-expected. holiday shipment volume last week.
REAL CONSUMER STRENGTH
Huntsville, Alabama-resident Aireale Hobbs, 40, started. Christmas searching for pajama sets, Stanley drink tumblers, and. toys for her family online on Black Friday.
She stated she chose to do a bulk of her shopping online. since of convenience, more choices and much better deals.
I got some things from Target that were discounted when. using the app, said Hobbs, who operates at as a front desk clerk. at a physician's workplace.
Laptop computers and TVs with brand-new innovation, lower rates and. growing acceptance of lab-grown diamonds, and athleisure clothing. also encouraged shoppers to spend this holiday, even. though promotions were at the very same levels as in 2015, Sadove. said.
Promotions were managed. Nothing was additional deep and. there were no panicked promos. What we saw was some real. consumer strength, Sadove said, including that low unemployment. and greater incomes were buffering personal finances.
Sales in the apparel, precious jewelry and electronic devices categories. were up 3.6%, 4% and 3.7%, respectively over last year,. according to Mastercard. Online sales of apparel, in particular,. grew 6.7%, compared to 0.2% in stores.
(source: Reuters)