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Wall St. rallies on hopes of rate cuts outweighing Middle East turmoil

Wall Street gained on Monday, as fears of Iran retaliating against U.S. Airstrikes and escalating the Middle East war were offset by the prospect that the U.S. Federal Reserve would cut interest rates in July.

All three major U.S. indexes rose modestly as a result of a broad rally. The consumer discretionary sector led the gains, with Tesla providing a strong boost.

"The rally was a little surprising," said Jay Hatfield. He is the CEO and portfolio manager of InfraCap, a New York-based company. In a sense, the U.S. attacks has ended the uncertainty about whether or not the U.S. would attack.

Hatfield said, "The market is very bullish at this time of the year because we are supposed to see a pullback in June." "People don't want to sell on this market."

Michelle Bowman, Vice Chair of the Federal Reserve, said that it was time to adjust the policy rate as the risks on the job market outweighed inflationary concerns relating to tariffs. Austan Goolsbee, president of the Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago, said that tariffs had so far had a smaller economic impact than anticipated.

The financial markets expect at least two rate cuts of 25 basis points before the end of the year. It is expected that the first rate cut will occur in September.

Tesla shares surged following the launch of its robotaxi service, which was long anticipated in Austin, Texas. Shares of the electric vehicle manufacturer were up last by 9.4%.

Israel continued to bomb Iran after the U.S. entered the war.

Still,

Oil prices fell after Iran's response did not include actions to disrupt oil and gasoline tanker traffic in the Strait of Hormuz. Tehran had threatened to close the Strait of Hormuz - a vital oil shipping route.

S&P Global’s "flash" advance purchasing managers' (PMI) indexes showed that the U.S. economic expansion is a little faster than analysts expected. Separately, despite the pressure of high borrowing costs, new home sales posted an unexpected increase in May.

The Commerce Department's final assessment of first-quarter GDP, its Personal Consumption Expenditures and Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s congressional testimony will likely be analyzed for clues about the near-term direction of monetary policy.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average gained 305.71, or 0.72 %, to 42512.53. The S&P 500 rose 44.70, or 0.75 %, to 6,012.54. And the Nasdaq Composite added 177.08, or 0.91 %), to 19,624.49.

Consumer discretionary stocks were the top gainers among the 11 major S&P 500 sectors, with energy being the only one in the negative.

Eli Lilly's shares rose by 0.9%, among other companies that moved the market. Investors were not impressed with detailed trial results on Novo Nordisk’s experimental drug for obesity CagriSema. Novo Nordisk's shares dipped 5.3%.

Fiserv's share price rose by nearly 3,3% after the company announced that it was launching a digital asset platform.

Northern Trust's stock jumped 7.2% following a Wall Street Journal article that said Bank of New York Mellon had discussed a possible merger.

Super Micro Computer, a maker of AI-servers, dropped 6.8% following the announcement of a private offer of convertible bonds for ten years worth $2 billion.

Later this week, Nike, a sportswear company and FedEx, a package delivery company will release their quarterly results.

On the NYSE, advancing issues outnumbered declining ones by a ratio of 1.67 to 1. On the NYSE, there were 100 new highs. There were also 66 new lowers.

On the Nasdaq 2,389 issues rose, while 2,026 declined. The ratio of advancing to declining stocks was 1.18:1. The S&P 500 recorded 12 new highs for the past 52 weeks and 4 new lowests, while the Nasdaq Composite registered 77 new highs for this period and 105 lows.

(source: Reuters)