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Businesses celebrate victory over Trump tariffs but refunds may take some time

The U.S. Supreme Court's decision to overturn emergency tariffs imposed by the White House was a victory for thousands of businesses, but the process of getting refunds is only just beginning. The court's decision could have a long-lasting impact on the global economy. It ruled that President Donald Trump was not allowed to impose broad tariffs against imports under the 1977 International Emergency Economic Powers Act. The corporate world spent months adapting to Trump's constantly changing trade policy, and his use of tariffs to further his agenda. Not only to address trade issues, but also to attack other governments policies and actions.

In a furious news conference after the ruling, Trump vowed to use his additional powers to challenge them.

Tariffs to be increased

This includes a temporary 10% tax on all imports.

Many businesses and industry groups reacted cautiously, hoping for a more predictable trade policy. Penn-Wharton Budget?Model economists stated on Friday that thousands of companies, not only those who sued the administration, will decide whether or not to pursue refunds. This means that more than $175 Billion in U.S. Tariffs collected could now be refunded.

Rick Woldenberg is the CEO of Learning Resources, a toymaker, and one of the

First Businesses

The lawsuit was filed in April last year. "I'm excited. This is something that everyone should feel they have won. It's "a win for all."

UNCERTAINTY REMAIN

The stocks of the affected companies initially rose on the news, but then fell due to uncertainty over trade policy. In afternoon trading, shares of Tapestry, the parent company of Target and Coach, were slightly up.

John Denton, Secretary General of the International Chamber of Commerce, stated that the U.S. Court of International Trade is likely to handle the logistics of refunds, making the claims administratively complex.

Since April, more than 1,800 cases relating to tariffs have been filed at the U.S. Court of International Trade (which has jurisdiction in tariffs and customs issues). This compares with fewer than 20 such cases throughout 2024.

Many lawyers and business associations that were interviewed before Trump's press conference predicted his Friday pledge to introduce additional tariffs. Many said that Trump's decision and his?subsequent actions - will create more uncertainty in the coming months.

"The chances that tariffs will reappear under a revised format remain significant." "The odds that tariffs will reappear in a revised form remain meaningful," Olu Sonola said, Fitch Ratings' head of U.S. Economics.

A RANGE OF SECTORS ARE AFFECTED Many sectors are affected, including consumer goods, automotive and manufacturing, as well as apparel, which rely on low-cost production from China, Vietnam and India. Trump's tariffs increase the cost of imported finished goods and parts, which squeezes margins and disrupts finely-tuned global supply chains. The plaintiffs are mainly subsidiaries of Japan's Toyota Group and U.S. large-box retailer Costco. They also include tire manufacturer Goodyear Tire & Rubber as well as aluminum company Alcoa. Kawasaki Motors, a Japanese motorcycle manufacturer, is also a prominent plaintiff. Tariffs increased prices for consumers who were already stung by years of post COVID inflation. The Federal Reserve Bank of New York estimated last week that 90 percent of Trump's tariffs will be paid by American companies and consumers. The White House has argued without much evidence that foreigners are paying the tariffs.

According to the Yale Budget Lab, as of November, the U.S. effective tariff rate was 11,7%. This compares with an average 2.7% between 2022-2024.

The automotive industry will also continue to be subjected to significant tariffs, which were not imposed under IEEPA. Last year, import tariffs of 25 percent were levied on vehicles coming across the border, from Mexico or Canada. This was based on national security grounds.

Attorneys say thousands of auto parts imported into the U.S. by countries that are subject to Trump’s reciprocal tariffs will be?hit, increasing costs for carmakers and parts suppliers. Many lawyers believe that many more companies will join the lawsuits, as they waited for the ruling in order to avoid unwanted attention from White House. The companies will join the queue of other companies that could wait for months or even years to recover billions in import duties.

Wade Kawasaki is the CEO of The Wheel Group in California, a manufacturer of automotive wheels. He said that his company had to pay an additional 20% due to the IEEPA tariffs. He plans to do so.

To seek refunds will require?his staff to sort through thousands of transactions in order to "figure how much we are owed back to," he stated. Some U.S. firms have sold their rights to recover refunds to investors outside the country. The companies will accept a small upfront payment - about 25-30 cents per dollar - and agree to give the rest to investors if the tariffs are overturned.

DHL, a German logistics firm, said it would use its technology to make sure that customers receive refunds "accurately" and "efficiently" if they have been authorized.

Bruce Smith, the owner, chairman, and CEO of Voltava in Michigan, said that he supported Trump’s efforts to balance trade. However, he hopes that now the president and elected officials will work towards trade policies that benefit the U.S. as well as its trading partners.

He said, "We can be strategic and tough without being unpredictable."

(source: Reuters)