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The volatility of crypto treasury tokens is stoked by the pivot towards fringe tokens.

New entrants push into less popular tokens as companies that are focused on stockpiling Bitcoin and other major cryptos come under pressure due to market saturation and a deteriorating sentiment. This is fueling concerns about increased volatility. The number of publicly traded companies investing in cryptocurrency in the hope that they will appreciate is on the rise. This boom has been fueled by President Donald Trump's crypto friendly stance, and the meteoric success Michael Saylor's Strategy. According to DLA Piper, as of September there were 200 digital asset treasury companies, mainly focused on bitcoin, with a combined capitaion of $150 billion. This is up threefold compared to a year ago.

Daily, more companies are launched, including penny stocks looking to increase profits. As bitcoin's value falls, companies are increasingly turning to more volatile, esoteric tokens to boost returns.

What are the risks for investors?

Greenlane, OceanPal, and Tharimmune, for instance, have announced that they plan to stockpile BERA (Bera), NEAR (Near) and Canton Coin respectively.

This trend shows how the volatile and speculative worlds of cryptocurrencies are becoming more intertwined with conventional markets, posing potential risks for investors.

The risk is higher when DATs expand to less liquid and exotic cryptocurrencies. This was confirmed by Cristiano Ventricelli at Moody's Ratings, senior analyst and vice president of digital assets.

Ventricelli said that when markets fall, the pressure on equity for these companies increases.

A VOLATILITY PIPELELINE

Since April, DATs have been funding token purchases through private placements (PIPEs) - by selling shares to private investors directly - often at a discounted price.

Analysis found that at least 40 DATs raised over $15 billion via PIPEs from April to November. Only five were focused on Bitcoin. Bitcoin suffered a loss for the first month since 2018 in October.

Public data shows that Winklevoss Capital and Galaxy Digital are among the heavyweight crypto investors who participated in these deals. Also included were Jump Crypto, Pantera Capital DWF Labs DWF Labs DWF Labs Kraken, Pantera Capital and Jump Crypto.

While institutional investors may be able to buy tokens directly, the DAT allows them to gain exposure and leverage their returns through regulated public companies.

Stock prices are often volatile because PIPEs give companies quick access to cash. However, shareholder dilution as well as the possibility of reselling shares after lockup periods have ended can cause volatility. Analysts say that because DAT companies rely so heavily on PIPEs they are particularly vulnerable to market declines. This was evident when the markets fell on 10 October due to renewed tensions between the U.S. and China. BitMine - which stocks ether - fell by more than 11%, and Forward Industries – which invests into Solana – fell by more than 15%. The stock of Strategy, a company that has made purchases using other methods, dropped by nearly 5%.

The hype surrounding DATs has subsided since they first hit the market. Peter Chung is the research director of Presto Research, a crypto-focused firm. He said: "I think it will come back."

OceanPal's spokesperson stated that its NEAR purchases allowed shareholders to take advantage of the token's AI-integrated capabilities. Greenlane declined comment.

Strategy BitMine and Tharimmune did not respond immediately to requests for comments. Neither did Winklevoss Capital or Galaxy Digital.

TRADING BELOW NET ASSET VALUE

Investors believed that they could buy more tokens with their credit.

Some are trembling as bitcoin's value has fallen and Strategy copies have flooded the market. According to The Block, at least 15 bitcoin treasury firms were trading under the net asset value for their tokens on Friday.

Bloomberg reported that Singapore-based 10x Research, which estimates retail investors who are big buyers Strategy and other bitcoin DATs of high-profile, have lost $17 billion in these trades.

Some DATs that focus on other large coin are also under pressure. ETHZilla, Forward Industries and other DATs have recently approved share repurchases. This is a common move to support share prices.

Michael O'Rourke is the chief market strategist of JonesTrading. He said, "I believe most of these digital assets treasury firms will end up trading at a discounted price to the digital asset."

'ABSOLUTELY DECIMATED'

Standard Chartered analysts stated in a note published in September that DAT companies held 4% of bitcoin, 3.1% ether, and 0.8% solana. Their fortunes, therefore, could have a major impact on coin prices.

Kyle Samani said that Forward Industries' chairman, Kyle Samani, stated in a press release that the buyback program allows "flexibility" to return capital to investors when they believe their stock is trading below its intrinsic value.

He and other DAT executives claim that their success is rooted in the ability to make intelligent investment decisions.

In an interview, Samani, co-founder of Multicoin Capital which invested in Forward Industries’ September PIPE, explained that "you're betting on management to go and do interesting things."

A spokesperson for ETHZilla said that the company was opportunistically repurchasing its shares when the stock price fell below the net asset value. While it has a large amount of ether on hand, the focus is primarily to put traditional assets onto blockchain.

Other DAT companies also look for ways to increase shareholder value. SUI Group which stocks Sui recently launched their own stablecoins.

He added that if a DAT simply sits back and buys tokens "long-term, you will be absolutely decimated." Hannah Lang reported; Michelle Price, Rod Nickel and Rod Nickel edited.

(source: Reuters)