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US blockade of Iranian oil exports forces crude to be stored on floating storage

Shipping data and analysts say that a U.S. navy blockade against Iranian ports has slowed down Tehran's oil exports. A growing stockpile is now stranded on tankers, as Iranian storage sites are running out of room.

It is difficult to determine how much crude oil Iran delivers to its customers, especially China, as some vessels have turned off their tracking systems.

Oil analytics firm Vortexa reported that only a few carriers with Iranian crude left the Gulf of Oman from April 13-25. LSEG data show that this is a drop of over 80% compared to a similar period in March when Iran exported 23.44 million barrels.

The U.S. has intercepted some of Tehran's vessels after they left Iranian ports. They also caught Iranian tankers and container ships that were sanctioned.

EXACERBATING WIDER MARK TIGHTNESS

At this point, we estimate that approximately 4 million barrels of Iranian oil have successfully left the Gulf of Oman. In an email, it stated that they were unable to confirm whether or not any of the vessels had been interdicted.

The U.S. is trying to avoid a situation where the market becomes tighter due to the loss of Iranian oil supply.

The U.S. unexpectedly granted Iran a temporary waiver of sanctions on energy exports last month to allow the prices to cool.

Benchmark Brent crude futures are up about $50 per barrel since the Iran War began on February 28. This has led to higher prices for gasoline, jet fuel and diesel.

The International Energy Agency called it the largest disruption in oil production ever.

NO TANKERS LEAVED THE GULF SINCE BLOCADE - KPLER

Since the beginning of the blockade, Kpler analysts have not seen any Iranian crude oil tankers leaving the Gulf of Oman.

The U.S. government said that their blockade on Iran was denying it much-needed revenues from crude oil exports.

U.S. Central Command said that the Iranian regime is unable to sell 41 tankers containing 69 million barrels.

The rial, Iran's currency fell to a new record low against the U.S. Dollar on Wednesday, underscoring the economic difficulties facing the oil-dependent economy.

According to TankerTrackers, a maritime intelligence firm, Iran continues to load crude oil at its main export hub, Kharg Island.

Satellite images show at least 10 tanks parked near Iran's Chah Bhar port in the Gulf of Oman.

In February, Iran produced approximately 3.24 million barrels per day of crude oil. Around half was used for domestic refinement.

The country could be forced to cut production within a week or so, according to Kpler analyst Johannes Rauball. Storage is limited.

Onshore storage capacity is 86,000,000 barrels and stocks are above 50,000,000 barrels.

According to a report by FGE NextantECA on April 15, Iran could be forced to reduce production in June due capacity constraints.

(source: Reuters)