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Hormuz traffic drops to a two-month low after renewed US and Iran strikes raise safety risks

Shipping data revealed that the number of tankers traversing the Strait of Hormuz dropped to its lowest level in two months in the last day, after renewed strikes between Iran and the U.S.?and attacks against vessels raised safety concerns.

Shipping industry sources say that vessels are increasingly turning off their public AIS?transponders. This makes it difficult to count the total number of ships on the waterway.

According to Kpler's analysis, based on the data available, oil and gas tanker traffic has fallen to its lowest levels since May 25.

In a recent report, ship broker Gibson stated that the world would be in a worse position if the renewed escalation of the strait led to another extended closure of Hormuz.

The global inventory has been rapidly depleted over the past few months. This is a recipe that will lead to a much tighter market, higher prices, and heightened downside risks for tanker markets.

According to LSEG's and MarineTraffic's?ship tracking data, the Sea Faith oil tanker had a destination of Sohar.

In an advisory issued on Sunday, the Joint Maritime Information Center of the U.S. Navy (JMIC) reported that commercial traffic in the Strait of Hormuz had "continued to be reduced".

The traffic patterns continue to reflect operator caution after recent attacks.

Satellite imagery of July 11, reviewed by, shows that at least three pairs of tanks were involved in ship to ship transfers outside of Hormuz in the Gulf of Oman.

Transfers from ship to ship (STS), as the name suggests, involve oil being transferred from one vessel into another. Since the conflict began in February, STS transfers have allowed faster oil deliveries to?waiting ships who do not have to travel through Hormuz.

One shipping official stated on Monday that "some ships are slipping into and out".

The source stated that "this has to be seen as a managed war now, similar to the Houthis at the Red Sea," referring to Yemeni militias who paralysed the traffic through the Bab al Mandeb Waterway for almost two years, before calling a truce in 2026.

TRUMP AND IRAN DIFFER ON STRAIT STATUS

Central Command reported that U.S. Forces completed another round of strikes on Iran Sunday, hitting multiple targets in different locations with precision munitions.

Donald Trump, the U.S. president, said that the Strait of Hormuz was open for commercial traffic on Sunday. Iran had earlier declared that the strait was closed after an Iranian vessel struck a ship that was travelling on a route that wasn't approved.

The?Revolutionary Guards of Iran said Monday that two ships were stopped in the Strait of Hormuz by their navy last night after shutting down?their?systems. The?Revolutionary Guards did not name the ships.

JMIC reported that an unknown projectile caused damage to a container ship on Sunday. The fire was started in the engine room.

TRAFFIC SLOWDOWN

Kpler data showed that six vessels crossed the strait Sunday, the lowest number for five weeks.

The data revealed that the Very Large Crude Carrier Humanity was loaded with 2,000,000 barrels Iranian oil and another tanker called Capetan Andreas carried about 500,000 barrels Kuwaiti oil. Three empty tankers were also seen entering the Gulf to load oil. The data showed that most of the tankers turned off their transponders as they crossed the strait.

Ship-tracking data shows that no liquefied?gas tanks entered the Strait of Gibraltar over the weekend.

Kpler data indicated that between July 10th and 12th, one tanker owned by Abu Dhabi National Oil Co left the strait. The vessel was headed for Dahej in India. Reporting by Jonathan Saul and Florence Tan; Editing and editing by Lincoln Feast, Ros Russell, and Siyi Liu

(source: Reuters)