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Data shows that more ships are changing course in the Red Sea following Houthi threats

Ship-tracking data showed that four tankers changed their course in the Red Sea Wednesday. Two of them indicated the Suez Canal, after Yemen's Houthi militia warned ships to avoid sailing into Saudi Arabian ports.

The Houthis, who are aligned with Iran, declared a naval blocade on Saudi Arabia Monday. This opened a new front in the war between the United States and Iran. It also raised the risk of global energy and trade outside the Gulf.

The threat of Houthi hostile action against Saudi Arabia has started to have a general effect on the tanker industry, according to a ship broker's note.

There are reports that several tankers have shifted their course to the Suez Canal after loading in Saudi Arabia's Yanbu Port in the Red Sea. Others are waiting for further instructions.

RISK OF ATTACKS IS RISKIER

In an advisory published by Aspides, the European Union naval force, ships with ties to Israel, Saudi Arabia, or the United States are more likely to be attacked by the Houthis. They are therefore advised to avoid travel through the Red Sea and Gulf of Aden, until the threat levels decrease.

The advisory stated that any vessel that has recently visited,?loaded or discharged cargo in Saudi ports should reduce its electronic footprint. This includes reducing AIS (ship tracking) transmissions as well as limiting publicly accessible digital data that could facilitate targeting.

According to LSEG, MarineTraffic, and Vanguard's analysis of ship tracking data, the four tankers shifted direction. Two of them signaled their destination as open water in the Red Sea.

Shipping data revealed that a fifth vessel, a vehicle transporter named Liu Jiang Kou, appeared to have turned back in the Gulf of Aden Wednesday after it had indicated the Saudi Red Sea Port of Jeddah for its next destination. The manager of the vessel, China's COSCO Shipping Group, did not immediately respond to a comment request.

On Tuesday, three oil tankers carrying Saudi crude for China and India turned around in the Red Sea to head towards the Suez Canal instead of the Yemeni coastline. Three oil tankers, including the Xin Long Yang managed by COSCO, made a U-turn in the Red Sea on Tuesday. They headed towards Suez Canal instead of facing Yemeni coast.

Alternative to the Strait of Hormuz

Saudi Arabia would lose a vital alternative to the Strait of Hormuz if the southern Red Sea gateway were closed. This could also increase fears of shortages.

In a separate statement, Braemar, a ship broker in Saudi Arabia said that the Houthi embargo raised "serious" questions about the viability eastbound routes out of Yanbu port. Yanbu is the outlet for the east-west pipeline.

Ship-tracking data revealed that a number of tanks were still visible Wednesday near Yanbu's Anchorage.

Since the Houthi's began their attacks on Yemen's coast in November 2023, the Red Sea hasn't fully recovered. The group claimed that they were doing this in solidarity with Palestinians fighting in Gaza.

Gaza's ceasefire in October last year was the only thing that brought an end to the group's attacks against merchant ships.

The Houthis warned shipping companies to avoid loading or discharging cargo at Saudi Arabian ports, or else they could be targeted. Sources in maritime security said that they have received audio recordings of Houthi warnings sent to ships on the Red Sea.

One shipping source, who received updates from a ship on the Red Sea, said: "They warn all ships intending to proceed into Saudi ports that they are open targets." (Reporting and editing by Jonathan Saul and Renee Maltezou. Reporting by Yannis Souliotis, Ahmad Ghaddar, and Renee Maltezou.

(source: Reuters)