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Airlines are under pressure due to the threat of missiles and closures of airspace.

Executives say that the proliferation of conflict zones is a growing burden for airline operations and profits. They are dealing with drones and missiles, as well as airspace closures and location spoofing.

The airlines are incurring costs and losing share of the market due to expensive reroutings and cancelled flights, which often happen at short notice. Aviation, which is proud of its safety record, invests more in data planning and security.

Guy Murray, the head of aviation security for TUI Airline, said that flight planning is difficult in such an environment.

Airlines have fewer options for routes due to the increasing number of airspace closures in Russia, Ukraine, the Middle East, India, Pakistan, and parts of Africa.

Mark Zee is the founder of OPSGROUP. This membership-based organization shares flight risk data.

Since October 2023, the Israeli-Palestinian Conflict in the Middle East has led to the commercial aviation being forced to share the skies with drones and missiles that were launched on short notice. Some of these weapons were reported to have been close enough for pilots and passengers to see.

Drone activity has forced Russian airports to close for short periods of time, including Moscow. GPS jamming and spoofing are also a growing problem around the world.

Last month, when hostilities erupted between India and Pakistan, both neighbours blocked the other's aircraft in their respective airspace.

Nick Careen said that the airspace is being used for retaliation, but this is not what it should be. Nick Careen was speaking to reporters on Tuesday at IATA's annual conference in New Delhi.

Isidre Poqueras is the chief operating officer of IndiGo in India. She said that recent divertions were undermining efforts to reduce emission and increase airline efficiency.

WORST CASE SCENARIO

A plane being accidentally or deliberately hit by weapons is the worst case scenario for civil aviation, putting finances aside.

Azerbaijan Airlines Flight 38 crashed in Kazakhstan on December 12, killing 38 people. According to Azerbaijani sources and the president of Azerbaijan, the plane was shot down accidentally by Russian air defences.

Five people were killed when a cargo aircraft was shot down by Sudanese gunmen in October.

According to Osprey Flight Solutions, aviation risk consultants, six commercial aircraft have been shot at, and three others have come close, since 2001.

Willie Walsh, IATA director general, said that governments need to share more information to ensure civil aviation security as conflict zones continue to proliferate.

Commercial aviation safety statistics show that accidents have steadily declined over the last two decades. However, these statistics do not include security incidents like being struck by weapons.

IATA stated in February that aviation safety was a major concern due to accidents and incidents involving conflict zones. This required urgent global coordination.

Tough Choices

As a result, each airline has a different policy on where it will fly. This is based on the information shared between states and carriers, government advisors and a patchwork system of government notifications.

Since the start of the war in Ukraine, in 2022, the Russian airspace has been closed to Western carriers. This puts them at a disadvantage in comparison to airlines like those from China and India that fly shorter routes in the north that require less fuel and crew.

Flightradar24 data show that Singapore Airlines flight SQ326 has taken three different routes to Europe since just over a month, due to a change in risk calculations.

In April 2024, Israel and Iran began a series of missile and drone attacks that had previously been avoided.

As tensions between India and Pakistan escalated, the flight's route was again changed last month to avoid Pakistani airspace. Flight SQ326 reaches Europe now via the Persian Gulf, Iraq and Afghanistan. Singapore Airlines didn't respond to our request for comment immediately.

The safety of pilots and flight attendants is also a concern for them.

IATA states that airlines, and not regulators, should determine if it is safe to fly above conflict zones. History shows that commercial pressures may cloud these decisions, said Paul Reuter. He is vice president of European Cockpit Association which represents pilots.

IATA Security Head Careen explained that flight crews have the right to refuse to take a trip if they are concerned about airspace. This could be due to weather conditions or conflicts zones.

He said that "most airlines, and I'd say the vast majority, don't want crews on aircraft who aren't comfortable flying."

(source: Reuters)