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United Airlines views the US shutdown as a risk to travel confidence

United Airlines Scott Kirby cautioned on Thursday that a prolonged government shutdown could have a negative impact on bookings and flight operations.

A political impasse over funding for the government has led to a third week of shutdown, which is amplifying an existing shortage of air traffic control. The shutdown has at times slowed down air traffic in certain cities.

In recent days, more than 13,000 air-traffic controllers and 50,000 Transportation Security Administration (TSA) officers received partial paychecks. They will not be paid the rest of this month if there is no resolution to the standoff.

Kirby stated that the shutdown has had no measurable effect as the vast majority of air traffic controllers continue to show up for work. He added that the Federal Aviation Administration's improved communication and coordination is helping airlines.

Kirby predicted that as the shutdown continues, people will lose confidence in the government’s ability to resolve this standoff. This would impact travel bookings.

He told analysts during an earnings call: "I hope that our politicians can figure out how they can get together, compromise and do something."

United's share price fell by about 6% during the afternoon trading as fears about the shutdown and its pricing power overshadowed an optimistic outlook for earnings.

CAPACITY ADJUSTMENT PLAN

The Chicago-based airline has forecast a stronger-than-expected profit in the fourth quarter as it expects rising travel demand and improved pricing power to produce the highest quarterly revenue in the company's history.

The company's revenue for the third quarter fell short of Wall Street expectations due to operational problems at Newark Airport as well as lower unit revenue in domestic and international markets, which is a proxy measure of pricing power.

In the third quarter, the airline's unit revenues declined by 3.3% on an annual basis in the domestic market and 7.1% for international routes. Conor Cunningham of Melius Research said that United's capacity increases in the mid- to high single digits across all regions hurt its unit revenues.

United has plans to solve its capacity issue. Andrew Nocella, Chief Commercial Officer of United Airlines, said that the company would adjust its summer capacity in the coming year. This will include reducing seats during the holiday period for the Fourth of July. It expects its transatlantic capacity to remain flat or even negative during the third quarter of 2026.

Nocella said to analysts, "We...remain focused on refinements that we can make to our network and commercial strategy to build a higher margin." (Reporting and editing by Nick Zieminski.)

(source: Reuters)