Latest News

Delta places Boeing 787 in order to forecast earnings growth on premium travel demand

Delta Air Lines, on Tuesday, forecast a 20% increase in earnings by 2026, citing strong corporate and consumer demand, as well as rising sales for premium travel. The airline also announced that it had agreed to purchase 30 Boeing 787-10 aircraft to bolster its long-haul fleet.

The shares of the airline fell by nearly 5% during premarket trading, as the forecasts were largely "below" estimates.

As lower-income consumers are under pressure due to inflation and a weaker purchasing power, the airline is benefiting from a resilient demand from higher-income travelers.

This divergence was apparent in the December quarter when the overall passenger revenue increased by just 1%. However, this masked a growing gap within the cabin. The revenue for main-cabin tickets fell by 7% compared to a year ago, but revenue from premium products grew by 9%.

Delta CEO Ed Bastian stated that the majority of Delta's seat expansion is planned for premium products. The main cabin will see little growth. The airline's long term strategy is reinforced by the fact that new aircraft are configured with more premium seats.

Bastian said that the outlook was "upbeat," noting the record bookings at the beginning of the year. However, the airline maintains a range in its forecast because of ongoing geopolitical uncertainty and policy-related uncertainties.

Delta, based in Atlanta, expects a full-year adjusted earnings per share between $6.50 and $7.50 as well as free cash flow between $3 billion and $4 billion. Delta expects revenue growth between 5% and 7% for the March quarter. It also forecasts adjusted earnings per share of $0.50-$0.90. LSEG surveyed analysts who expect earnings per share of $7.25 for the year, and $0.72 for each quarter.

INTERNATIONAL RECOVERY - UNVEIL

Bastian stated that the international demand is still strong, despite markets like Canada and China not yet fully recovering. Capacity to China remains well below pre-pandemic levels. He said that the World Cup soccer tournament could be a catalyst for inbound travel and ease a blockage in international demand.

In 2025, the airline had its highest ever level of premium revenue and diversification. Nearly 60% of its total revenue came from premium cabins and loyalty programs, as well as other non-ticket revenue sources such as its long-standing relationship with American Express.

Bastian, a Delta spokesperson, told reporters that Delta's customers prioritize travel and high-quality experiences.

The disparity in consumer spending has also changed the shape of the U.S. aviation industry. Low-cost and Ultra-low-cost Carriers, who rely heavily upon price-sensitive travellers, have struggled with weak profitability and excess capacities, leading to consolidation and retrenchment. Allegiant announced plans to purchase Sun Country Airlines while Spirit Airlines filed for bankruptcy.

Bastian stated that "the lower-end consumers are struggling." We are fortunate to not live in that area.

BOEING ORDER DIFFERSIFIES LONG HAUL FLEET

Delta's adjusted fourth-quarter earnings of $1.55 per share barely beat analyst's expectations. However, results were affected by the longest U.S. government shutdown in history, which caused tens and thousands of flight disruptions, and reduced quarterly profits by about $200 million.

In 2025, the airlines also suffered a drop in demand due to the sweeping U.S. Tariffs that eroded consumer confidence. Delta's outlook for 2026 assumes that these disruptions won't be repeated.

Delta, as part of its long-term fleet plan, will purchase 30 Boeing 787-10 widebody planes, with an option for another 30, and deliveries are expected to begin in 2031. Delta will have a brand-new aircraft with the 787-10.

Bastian explained that the aircraft was chosen for its efficiency and flexibility in mid-range international routes. This includes those across the Atlantic, to South America and other destinations where ultra-long range capability is not needed. He said that the 787-10 was cheaper to operate than larger widebodies like the Airbus A350 on many missions.

Delta Airlines has been a strong proponent of Airbus for the last 15 years. Its fleet is centered around the A220, A320, and A350 narrowbody aircraft, as well as its flagship A330 widebody.

Bastian explained that the Boeing order was a deliberate attempt to diversify the suppliers and reduce reliance on one manufacturer, as the airline expanded internationally. He said that it was difficult to run a business if the airline relied on a single supplier. (Reporting and editing by Jamie Freed; Reporting by Rajesh Kumar Singh)

(source: Reuters)