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Aviation growth slowed by supply problems and political turmoil

On the eve?Singapore Airshow, Monday, aviation leaders addressed barriers to growth as well as the impact of geopolitical conflicts. They also reaffirmed their commitment to reduce emissions.

The head of the International Air Transport Association has warned that supply chain problems will continue to hurt global airlines for some time.

Willie Walsh, Director General of IATA, said that "this disruption continues to have major impacts" at the Changi Aviation Summit ahead of Asia's biggest air show.

Airbus and Boeing are facing supply chain issues since the COVID-19 outbreak, while engine manufacturers like GE Aerospace or Pratt & Whitney have to juggle multiple demands for new plane assembly as well as maintenance of existing fleets.

The aviation industry is also dealing with geopolitical shifts, including U.S. tariffs on imports which have disrupted air freight flows.

Walsh stated that the impact of the geopolitical changes was more apparent on the air cargo business side than the passenger side.

He added that air cargo volumes between Europe and Asia grew by 10.3% last year, while shipments between Asia and North America fell 0.8%.

China and India are driving the Asia-Pacific region's growth in air travel. The region is expected to grow by 7.3% between now and 2026.

Toshiyuki?Onuma, the newly elected President of the governing council?of the International Civil Aviation Organization (the United?Nations aviation body), warned that aviation would struggle to meet projected growth without coordinated actions.

He said that a system designed for four billion passengers could not support three times as many without undergoing a transformation. "We also need to accelerate our progress in order to reach net-zero emissions by 2050."

SUPPLY CHAIN "WEAPONISATION"

Chicago Convention, a system of aviation standards that has been in place for decades, is under threat due to tensions surrounding aircraft certification.

Onuma did not want to be drawn into the controversy over U.S. president Donald Trump's demand last week that Canada certify certain U.S. designed?Gulfstream jets, or face tariffs. He told reporters that ICAO will remain "technically impartial".

He said that if it was obvious that certain member states were violating the Chicago Convention then ICAO would ask them to correct the situation. However, he did not specify if this applied to Trump's intervention.

He stressed the importance of global cooperation to the 350 aviation leaders in the audience.

Onuma stated that "only together can we create a sector which is safer, sustainable and competitive."

Trump's remarks have caused alarm among airline and certification specialists, who question whether aircraft certification should "become entangled with politics".

A senior regulatory official said that there can be no bargaining on certification.

The EU Transport Commissioner,?Apostolos?Tzitzikostas, is the latest high-ranking official to warn about the "weaponisation of supply chains" as major powers pursue geopolitical goals.

He told the conference that "there are real issues today in the development of aviation in the years to come...issues relating to weaponisation and dependency in supply chains."

His remarks echo a warning issued last month by France’s aerospace industry about the fate of supply chains built across borders under policies of globalisation that are now on retreat.

Aerospace executives say rare earths - a component in jet engines - remain a particular pressure point despite a U.S.-China trade truce. China is the world's largest supplier of these metals. Reporting by Julie Zhu and Joe Brock; editing by Jamie Freed

(source: Reuters)