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Ryanair boss: Risk of jet fuel shortages in Europe is receding

Michael O'Leary, CEO of Ryanair Group, said that the threat of a 'jet fuel shortage' in Europe because of the Middle East conflict is receding. Fuel companies have informed the airline that they do not see any risk of disruptions until the end June. He predicted that Ryanair would be able to lower fares by using its fuel hedging positions.

O'Leary warned in April that the jet fuel supply into Europe could be disrupted as early as June if the conflict did not end by this month. Fuel companies are more confident now than they were a week or two ago, O'Leary said.

In an interview with Reuters, O'Leary said that the risk of a disruption in supply was receding. He cited a Monday?conference call held by all of their suppliers across Europe.

He dismissed a warning issued by Sweden on Tuesday about a possible shortage of "jet fuel".

NO SUPPLY DISSRUPTION BEFORE JUNE. "A month back, we said we'd be fine until the end May. O'Leary stated that the?fuel companies now say they see no risk of supply disruption until June.

He said that Britain was the most vulnerable market due to its high oil imports from Kuwait. He also said that the risk has receded, and that the oil companies that Ryanair works with have stated that they will step in if Kuwait runs out.

O'Leary stated that while demand for last minute bookings was stronger than expected in April and may, it was "a bit weaker" between June and September. This prompted the airline to lower certain fares to stimulate interest.

FARES UNDER PRESSURE DOWNWARD

He said that Ryanair would also continue to keep the downward pressure on prices in order to put pressure rival airlines, whose fuel costs were not hedged as far as Ryanair.

He said that average fares would therefore not grow by the 4-5% forecast previously, but instead remain flat in the financial year ending March 2027.

He said: "If I were to guess today, and if I were to guess completely, I would say that our original planning predicted fares going up by 4, 5%. I think we're moving towards a kind of 'flat' fares compared with last year.

He added, "We'd still be very profitably if the fares were flat in this year."

He added that if the Middle East conflict ends quickly, "fares may rise by more than three or four percent". Reporting by Gwladys Fauch in Oslo; writing by Padraic Hapin; editing done by Sarah Young and Keith Weir

(source: Reuters)