Latest News

Sources say that China could reduce fuel oil imports in response to a tax hike of 2025.

Sources familiar with the issue said that China's fuel imports will drop by early 2025 due to a rise in the import tax on the product, which took effect Jan. 1. This prompted some sellers to lower their prices in order to increase demand.

The increase in import duties will further reduce margins for China’s refining industry, which has already been struggling with low margins.

Fuel oil is a good feedstock for smaller refineries. This is especially true if they lack or do not have crude oil import quotas.

Fuel oil prices are expected to continue to fall in the region due to a slowdown in China imports. Prices have been falling since last quarter because of ample supplies.

Beijing raised import tariffs on fuel oil from 1% to 3% in late 2024.

The government has also removed "other heavy oil" and "other fuel oil" from the new rule, which will take effect on Jan. 1. This change could reduce the mislabeling of crude oil to bypass the quotas.

A fuel oil trader, who ships cargoes to China, said: "We expect some signs of a slowing in demand over the short-term."

Due to the sensitive nature of trade, sources declined to identify themselves.

The spot premiums for Russian fuel oil M100, a feedstock of choice for Chinese refiners has dropped by $10-$15, to under $60 per metric ton, to Singapore 380cst fuel prices for January.

China's imports fell in December due to soft refining margins.

Ship-tracking data by Kpler & LSEG revealed that fuel oil imports fell below 1.7 millions tons (348.225 barrels per days) in December after hitting a high of 2.55million tons in November.

The state tax bureau is also implementing plans in China to reduce the consumption tax rebates received by refiners when they sell gasoline or diesel fuel refined using imported fuel oil.

An executive at an independent refiner said, "We are all waiting to see what the provincial tax bureau will do with the rebates on December imports. But the word is that the government will take it seriously starting in 2025."

(source: Reuters)