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Rates of supertanker shipping are rising sharply due to the US-China trade conflict that has engulfed ports

The supertanker rates have risen this week, and they are likely to remain high due to the U.S. and China titling-for-tat increases in port fees as well as concerns over the impact of U.S. sanction on a Chinese major crude oil terminal.

According to traders, the Chinese port fees announced Friday would increase shipping costs by more than $7 per barrel for a Very Large Crude Carrier that is linked to the United States. This would amount to around $15 million, which would discourage anyone from chartering vessels linked to the United States.

The VLCC spot rates for the Middle East-China route, also known as TD3C LSEG data shows that on Monday,, reached a new two-week high of W98 in the Worldscale Industry Measure used to calculate freight rate.

Shipbrokers reported that on Wednesday the price had fallen to W95, or about $6,2 million in lump sum. It is still much higher than the W70 levels from a week earlier.

CHINESE RETALIATION

China's announcement that it would charge its own port fees to vessels linked to the United States sparked a rise in rates. This was in response to U.S. port rate hikes announced earlier this year for Chinese ships.

Beijing subsequently announced that Chinese-built vessels would be exempted. The two sets of levies came into effect on Tuesday.

The rates have indeed increased as the number of available tankers that meet the criteria for avoiding the high loadport fees has decreased, said June Goh a senior analyst in the oil market at Sparta Commodities.

She added, "However since China has now exempted China-made vessels, there is some reprieve here."

A shipbroker who refused to be identified due to the company's policy said that owners of tankers from countries other than the United States might request a premium, which could drive freight rates up.

Clarksons Research estimated that after China exempted Chinese built ships, about 12% (or 12 million crude tankers) of the world’s fleet would be subject to China’s port fees.

RIZHAO Port Sanctions

Traders said that the U.S. sanctions imposed on Friday on Shandong’s Rizhao Oil Terminal has forced trading companies to divert ships to Zhoushan on China's East Coast, where they could cause congestion at Zhoushan's transfer hub, which is linked to major Sinopec refining plants and mega refiner Rongsheng Petrochemical.

Brendan Bos is a market analyst with Gibson Shipbrokers. He said that the sanctioning of Rizhao oil terminal contributed to the volatility of freight in the East.

Bos stated that "it has already resulted in greater trade inefficiency as several VLCCs diverted. However, it is likely that there will be new outlets for crude oil and that its impact on the medium term will be mitigated."

The U.S. Treasury listed the Rizhao Shihua crude oil terminal, which is half owned by a Sinopec logistic unit, in a series of sanctions, including ships that transport Iranian crude and liquefied petrol gas.

The shipbroker, who refused to identify himself, said that the number of VLCCs required to transport cargoes to Asia from the Middle East and Europe, Africa, the U.S., and Africa is likely to increase in October compared to September. This will drive up freight rates.

The current TD3C rate is not far from the more than two-year highs reached in September around W108, when tanker supplies tightened due to an increase in Middle East exports and increased arbitrage supplies into Asia.

(source: Reuters)