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Russia's Dec western port oil loadings might slip by 100,000 bpd, sources state

Oil loadings from Russia's. western ports in December are anticipated to slip by some 100,000. barrels each day (bpd) to 1.8 million bpd amidst rising refinery. runs, according to three market sources and Reuters. computations.

Unrefined output is expected to stay flat after OPEC+ nations. chosen to extend oil cuts.

Oil loadings from western ports in December may fall by. some 500,000 (metric) lots from November, a source with a. trader said.

Urals, Siberian Light and KEBCO petroleum loadings from the. ports of Primorsk, Ust-Luga and Novorossiisk may fall by some 5%. on a daily basis, Reuters estimations revealed.

Provisionary lifting strategies will likely emerge early next. week, while our estimates show the schedule for December will be. somewhat shorter than in November. Novorossiisk oil loadings may. stay in line with November, while loadings from Baltic ports. will fall, another source stated.

December is one day longer than November.

Members of the group of OPEC+ oil-producing nations were due. to raise output in December as part of a strategy to slowly. unwind their latest layer of output curbs, however agreed to. postpone the move amidst weak demand especially from China and rising. supply from outside the group.

Russia plans to take 680,000 tons of refining capacity. offline in November, below 2.42 million heaps in a revised. prepare for November, lowering the amount of crude oil readily available. for export, according to Reuters estimations based on information from. industry sources.

An anticipated rise in output at the Ilsky oil plant and the. end of maintenance work at Rosneft's refineries will add to. greater domestic crude intake in December, however lower idle. refining capacity will not lead to a proportional drop in. export volumes, treader state.

I do not see a linear correlation. Oil refining in December. will increase, but not as high as the refining capacity that. returns online. Margins at some complex refineries are not extremely. good, so the plants are not working at full capability, one of. the sources noted.

(source: Reuters)