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Drone attacks and extreme weather limit gains from rising oil prices

Sources in the industry said that Russia was unable to take advantage of this week's spike in global crude oil prices because a combination of?days?of Ukrainian drone attacks, and harsh winter storms?have severely curtailed their?capacity?to export.

Three trade sources and Russian and Ukrainian officials confirmed that the Sheskharis Oil Terminal in Novorossiysk Port, Russia, suspended oil loadings Monday following a drone attack by Ukraine which damaged and destroyed dozens of buildings and set a fuel depot ablaze.

Crude oil benchmarks rose 8% on Monday, the third consecutive session of gains, as?the U.S. - Israel conflict with Iran intensifies, disrupting fuel deliveries and raising fears about further Middle East oil supply disruptions.

The Russian federal budget deficit is increasing due to a shortfall in oil and natural gas revenues, which make up almost?a quarter (or more) of the budget's proceeds.

The terminal at NOVOROSSIYSK is still closed

The latest LSEG data shows that the price of Russian Urals oil in Baltic ports increased to $51.6 per barrel on Monday. Traders expect further gains on Tuesday.

Russian exporters were unable to respond and boost shipments due to Ukrainian drone strikes, severe weather, and other factors.

It was unclear when the Sheskharis terminal would reopen. The oil terminal is scheduled to load 500,000 barrels of oil per day this month.

One source in the trading industry said that Sheskharis would restart loadings as early as March 5-6.

Transneft and the Novorossiysk port authority have not responded to comments made.

The ICY conditions hamper the diversion of CRUDE to ports

The severe ice conditions in the Baltic ports of Primorsk & Ust-Luga have severely reduced loading capacity.

The European authorities have also?intensified the seizure and detention of "shadow fleet" oil tankers that are used to transport Russian oil. This has added further complications. These tankers are operated by opaque owners and have lax safety standards.

There are few options to reroute crude oil through the Caspian Pipeline Consortium pipeline (CPC), as it is prone to weather delays and most of its capacity has been used by Kazakhstan's Tengiz Field, which is recovering production.

The Druzhba pipeline, which supplies Hungary and Slovakia, remains halted. Both countries blame Ukraine for the suspension. Kyiv claims that the pipeline has been damaged by Russia.

Traders said that in March, Kozmino Port is expected to load around 1 million barrels of oil per day.

(source: Reuters)