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Which firms will clean-up after the Iran War is over? Maguire

After the U.S. and Israeli air strikes against Iran are over, a new competition is likely to begin: the race for contracts to repair damaged oil and natural gas infrastructures and to restore shipping lanes – and influence – across the 'Middle East.

The destruction does not stop in Iran. Fatih Birol, head of the International Energy Agency, warned that at least 40 energy assets in nine Middle Eastern countries have been "severely" or "very severely" damaged. It will take time to repair oil and gas fields and refineries, as well as pipelines, Fatih Birol said. Fatih Birol said that the current crisis is worse than both the oil shocks in the 1970s and the impact of Russia-Ukraine gas war combined.

Engineering specialists are lining up for the rebuilding of pipelines that have been destroyed, while logistics companies can repair ports and terminals that have been bombed out. A select group of businesses is ready to turn the end to the conflict into a lucrative business boom.

Here are some of the sectors and companies that could be competing for the many energy and port reconstructions projects likely to arise in the Middle East after the war ends and the cleanup begins.

ENGINEERING CONGLOMERATES

Once the fighting has stopped, multinational engineering giants are among the first to be called to the?Iran to assess the damage and create reconstruction plans.

Companies with experience in the repair and construction of oil rigs, refining plants, pipelines, and natural gas liquefaction will play an important role in Iran’s recovery, and in restoring revenue to the country.

The ultimate winners will be determined by political affiliations. Both the Iranian and U.S. government are expected to have strong opinions on how contracts should be divided up.

After several weeks of constant?bombing, there should still be plenty of work for everyone.

SLB (formerly Schlumberger), Halliburton and Baker Hughes, as well as the privately-held Bechtel Corp., are all major U.S. companies with large oil and gas engineering departments.

The obvious candidates on the Iranian side are the Khatam-al Anbiya Construction company, controlled by the Islamic 'Revolutionary Guard Corps' (IRGC), and the Mapna Group - the largest oil, gas, and power contractor in the country.

The Middle East is home to many international firms, including Italy's Saipem and France's Technip. Larsen and Toubro, India, and Dubai's Sidara, also have extensive operations there. They will therefore have the contacts and experience required to start work quickly.

CNPC of China, NMDC in the United Arab Emirates and Petrofac from Britain are also regionally present and will likely compete to win bids.

OIL & GASS MAJORS

After pipelines and energy infrastructure are repaired, oil and gas producers around the world will look to step up to resume well site extraction and restore the region's refineries.

National energy companies throughout the region will likely feature prominently. These include National Iranian Oil Company, QatarEnergy and Abu Dhabi National Oil Company.

Shell, TotalEnergies (France), and Exxon Mobil (U.S.) are among the international oil majors with extensive operations in the Middle East. They will also look to protect their position.

The destruction is so massive that it gives a'sense of opportunity. Israeli strikes have damaged four units in Iran's South Pars Gas Field, and Iranian attacks in Qatar's Ras Laffan Industrial City have caused extensive damage to the LNG facilities. It will take many years to repair.

SHIPPING & UTILITIES

Damage does not end at the wellhead. The region's ports, power grids, and water systems have all been affected, and require a similar amount of reconstruction.

Recent bombardments have caused significant damage to large ports and merchant vessels in the Iranian waters, as well as scores of other naval and merchant vessels.

The Strait of Hormuz, a narrow 'chokepoint' between Iran and Oman that passes roughly a fifth of world crude oil and LNG, has been closed. Reopening the Strait will be necessary for a return to normal energy flows around the globe.

Specialists in marine salvage and harbour reconstruction will be needed to restore port facilities and clear shipping channels. The recovery effort is expected to take years.

Tavanir, a state-owned company, and Mapna Group, a private group, operate the majority of Iran's transmission and generation networks. They will anchor the recovery efforts at home.

Rosatom, the Russian company that manages Iran's Bushehr reactor, near recent strike zones faces a much more complex challenge. This is because any reconstruction effort supported by the United States will likely be challenged.

Desalination plant that provide clean water to Iran and Bahrain, as well as parts of israeli electricity grid were also affected, extending the scope of rebuilding beyond Iran's border.

Even if fighting ended today, there would still be years of reconstruction to come.

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(source: Reuters)