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What caused the cocoa crisis in Ivory Coast, Ghana and Nigeria?

Ivory Coast, Ghana and the other half of the cocoa-producing countries have had difficulty selling beans and paying farmers due to the abundance of cocoa harvested globally and the lower cocoa price.

What are the reasons why the two countries performed worse than their rival producers?

How did we get here?

Cocoa is not traded freely in Ivory Coast or Ghana.

The government-appointed 'cocoa regulators' of the two countries sell 80% of the 'beans? to global traders one year in advance. Based on these sales, they set a price fixed for the farmers when the season begins in October.

Farmers sell their beans at this price to local collectors, who then sell them to licensed buyers. Licensed buyers sell the cocoa either directly to global traders, or to local traders that sell to global traders.

Cocoa regulators in most countries adjust the farmer's price to reflect the lower-quality mid-crop, which is usually between April and September.

Ivory Coast's main crop price was set at $5,000 per metric ton in October last year, while Ghana set the price at $5,300.

The price of cocoa futures has fallen to $3,100 per tonne, but they have lost more than half their value in just one year.

The price drop had an immediate impact on global cocoa traders. They would suffer?severe losses' if they bought Ivorian or Ghanaian beans, and then sold them to futures market prices. They stopped buying them.

Sources in the industry said that Ivorians farmers were also not paid for their beans as of last month. The Ivory Coast government noted that cocoa stocks were piled high.

What has Ivory Coast, GHANA done so far in response?

Ivory Coast launched a program late last month in order to get cash?to farmers. The government bought 100,000 tons of main crop cocoa from farmers for a price of half a million dollars.

The cocoa regulator in Ghana cut the fixed farmer prices by almost a third on 12 February, to about $3,580 a ton, after estimating that the country held cocoa stocks of around 50,000 tons.

Sources have confirmed that Ivory Coast plans to reduce its fixed farmer price, starting March 1, by about a quarter in order to encourage sales to international traders.

The government announced earlier this week that it would announce a "new farmer price" by the end February, one month earlier than normal.

Why did the price of cocoa in the world plummet?

World cocoa prices, which nearly tripled to record levels by 2024, have lost around three-quarters of their value since then.

This was partly due to a drop in demand as high prices forced chocolate makers to reduce bar size, add non-cocoa ingredients, like wafers and nuts, or substitute cocoa butter for alternative fats.

According to traders, the favourable weather conditions have led to larger and healthier crops. The global market is expected to record an excess of between 300,000 and 400,000 tons in this season.

Ivory Coast, Ghana and other countries with large surpluses of beans, do not have the means to store them in warehouses.

The price of cocoa in futures markets has a lag of about a year before it is reflected in the chocolate sold at retail.

COCOA IS IMPORTANT TO THE IVORY COAST AND GHANA ECONOMIES.

Cocoa exports account for almost 40% of Ivory Coast revenue and 15% of Ghana's. This makes cocoa one of the largest sources of foreign currency earnings?for both West African countries.

Ghana, like Ivory Coast is struggling to recover from the deepest economic crisis it has experienced in a decade after defaulting on and restructuring a large portion of its $30 billion debt.

Ghana's cocoa regulator has found it more difficult and expensive to obtain financing for its cocoa purchases.

Nearly two million cocoa farmers in Ghana and Ivory Coast, and their dependents - most of whom are below the poverty level - rely on chocolate as a livelihood. (Reporting and editing by Barbara Lewis; May Angel)

(source: Reuters)