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Jet fuel crisis is a boon to Nigerian Dangote but not local airlines

The 'giant Dangote refinery in Nigeria is enjoying record margins on jet fuel it sells mostly abroad. Meanwhile, the domestic airlines that it supplies are threatening to stop flying due to the rise in fuel prices.

The largest refinery on the continent was built in order to make Africa's most important oil producing country a net exporter, reduce?Nigeria?s dependence?on fuel imported, and protect its economy from global energy crises.

The plant was fully operational by the beginning of this year, and it is currently producing at its maximum of 650,000 barrels of oil per day.

Nigerian fuel prices remain among the highest on the continent, despite the fact that the market has been deregulated. This means the government does not subsidise fuel prices as it does in many African countries.

Dangote's debt repayment agreements with the state oil company complicate matters further. They require that Dangote imports most of his crude oil, which makes it easier for it to balance its accounts if it exports.

Clash with the needs of the aviation industry

Airline Operators of Nigeria, an industry body, said that prices have nearly tripled since February, before the Iran War.

Nigeria's energy regulator reported that Dangote is selling jet fuel for 1,879 Nigerian naira per litre ($1.39), which is not much different from the imported fuel price of 1,900 Nigerian naira per litre ($1.41) delivered to Lagos in earlier this month.

Jet fuel shortages are a pressing concern due to the Middle Eastern conflict. Prices have been raised, fuel surcharges added and planes grounded by airlines around the world.

Last week, Nigerian airlines threatened to stop all flights. This prompted the government to take measures on Thursday including a?relief of debts owed to local airlines? and?ordering?talks in order to try to negotiate lower prices.

DANGOTE’S MARGINS CAN BE BETTER.

Dangote has, on the other hand, been able, with a highly efficient new refinery, to benefit from record margins in producing jet fuel using crude.

Profits could be higher if the company relied on Nigerian crude oil and avoided almost all shipping costs.

The Nigerian National Petroleum Company Limited, a state oil firm, has a joint venture crude that is tied to loans backed by oil and pre-export agreements.

This means that a large portion of Nigeria's production of about 1.5 million barrels a day is used to pay debts to banks, traders and international oil companies. Analysts estimate that the NNPC's obligations are about 400,000 barrels per day.

Davekumar Edwin, vice president of Dangote Group, said that Dangote imports most of its crude oil from the U.S. as well as from other African producers as Brazil. He did not provide exact figures.

He claimed that the majority of the 24,000,000 litres jet fuel produced daily was shipped to Europe. However, he said that the refinery also supplied a large portion of the Nigerian airline's needs, which are estimated by the aviation industry at?about 2 million litres per days.

EUROPEAN BUYERS?ARE WILLING to PAY MORE

Data from Kpler and LSEG show that European buyers are willing pay a premium to get ahead of the summer travel season. The data shows that European imports have been averaging 78,000 to 96,000 barils per day so far in April, which is the highest ever recorded.

Alan Gelder, senior Vice President for Refining, Chemicals and Oil Markets at Wood Mackenzie said that European refiners earned around $15 per barrel.

Dangote, he said, had margins more than twice as high due to the access it has to Nigerian crude oil and because of the size and sophistication of its plant. Edwin didn't disclose any figures, but profits from the production of?jet fuel reached a record in international markets during March.

Dangote prices its products based on global markets.

Dangote is planning to list its shares in the next few months. The complex will be expanded to a capacity of 1.4 million barrels per day, making it the largest refinery in the world by the end decade.

(source: Reuters)