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US demand for China's goods drops on tariff concerns; ocean shipping rates fall

Shipping rates for cargo containers to the U.S. from China have fallen by more than 50% since the beginning of the month. Imports recovered less than expected following the initial slump after President Donald Trump imposed 145% tariffs against China.

Trump reversed his course quickly by lowering it to 30%. This cost increase for goods coming from the No. 1 ocean trading partner of the United States is significant. The cost increase on goods from the nation's No.

The rates on the highly-watched Shanghai-to-U.S. West Coast routes appear to have reached a floor in the near term at about $2,500 per container after reaching a peak early this month of around $6,000. Jefferies shipping analyst Omar Nokta wrote on Thursday.

After Trump reduced tariffs against China from 145% to 30%, shipping rates reached their highest levels. This led U.S. Importers to rush new orders for goods that they had stopped ordering because of the astronomical tax.

Drewry, a maritime consultancy, said that the decline in shipping rates is a sign the recent surge of imports into the United States will not have the long-lasting impact we initially anticipated.

Drewry's World Container Index dropped 9% for a second week in a row after five weeks of gains.

Tariffs have not yet had a full impact on the U.S. consumer because importers stocked up goods in anticipation of the new duties, delaying the price increases.

The time is now running out. Walmart, the largest retailer in the world and top ocean importer warned that it would begin raising prices by late May or June.

Jerome Powell, the Federal Reserve chair, said on Wednesday that he expected tariffs to begin stoking up inflation this summer.

Tariffs are already higher on certain goods. However, a deadline of July 9 is approaching for the introduction of new levies against a wide range countries. Analysts are predicting a minimum 10% tariff, but it is unclear whether Trump will go lower or impose something even more aggressive.

Some maritime experts claim that Trump's trade war has forced the U.S. to a corner.

Imports to the U.S. almost ceased in April due to Trump’s temporary 145% tariffs against China. This volume is now rebounding. The rebound may not be as strong as expected, however, because tariffs are beginning to impact consumer spending and economic growth.

"The less volume that goes up, the lower economic activity will be." "The less volume that goes down, the higher the inflation," said John McCown senior fellow at Center for Maritime Strategy.

There is no place that you can land comfortably. Reporting by Lisa Baertlein, Los Angeles; editing by David Gregorio

(source: Reuters)