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Shipping executives predict that the adoption of alternative marine fuels will accelerate after 2030.

Shipping executives at the APPEC Conference in Singapore said that the use of alternative fuels will accelerate in shipping after 2030, as stricter emission standards become effective, in contrast to a stop-start approach for the moment.

Shipping companies will likely struggle to gain traction in this decade as they deal with trade volatility, geopolitical unrest and other factors. However, gains should be expected over the next 10 years.

Emma Mazhari is the CEO of Maersk Oil Trading. She said, "I think between 2030 and 2040 we will see a real shift in volume to low-carbon fuels."

Mazhari stated that the change is due to regulations such as the European Emission Trading Scheme and maritime fuel standards.

She said: "We're already seeing a change in the fuel supply when we bunker here in Europe.

Maersk no longer invests in ships that use only one fuel because of the anticipated shift.

Mazhari stated that "if we invest in new assets, they must be dual-fuel so that we also have the option to ensure that we can recoup our investments on a longer-term basis."

Takeshi Hashimoto is the CEO of Japan's 2nd largest shipping company, Mitsui O.S.K. Lines (MOL), told the conference that shipping companies would focus on reducing their emissions by using "proven products", such as LNG and methanol, over the next 5 to 10 years.

MOL also explores the use of wind energy to assist propulsion systems on ships, he added.

Hashimoto said that the shipping industry is currently experiencing a "stop-and-go" decarbonisation process, but the long term development of low carbon marine fuels such as green ammonia and green methanol will be a necessity for the sector.

In order to meet the International Maritime Organization's carbon reduction targets, the shipping industry is exploring alternative fuels that are lower in carbon to reduce its reliance upon oil.

Unaffected by geopolitical instability, a Tata NYK shipping executive said that decarbonisation should be a top priority.

Amitabh Pande, the managing director of Tata NYK, a joint-venture between India's Tata Steel, and Japan's NYK Line, said that decarbonisation will continue to be a necessity for shipowners, regardless of what we hear from the White House.

He acknowledged, however, that the changing geopolitical environment complicates corporate decisions.

Capital allocation is a problem because we are unsure when to invest and how much.

(source: Reuters)