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Spain's eDreams shares plummet over 30% after the company cuts its earnings guidance

The shares of eDreams Odigeo dropped more than 30% Wednesday, a day that could be their worst since October 2014. This was after the Spanish travel company cut its earnings forecasts for 2026-2027 the previous night. The Barcelona-based firm revised its core earnings to 155 million euro ($179 million) in the fiscal year ending March 2026, and 115 millions euros in the fiscal 2027. This was due to slower growth of its prime subscriber base and adoption of flexible payment methods.

Sergio Avila is a senior analyst with brokerage firm IG. He said that investors are now focusing on the growth of subscribers. If this slowdown can be viewed as a normalization following strong growth, then the stock may recover. If it is a sign of saturation, the stock will be under more pressure," he said.

In 2017, the company launched its subscription-based business model, which was pivotal in its recovery from the pandemic and its profitability. Investors are concerned about revenue challenges due to a decline in subscription growth, from 20% to only 18%.

eDreams, when contacted by eDreams, declined to provide any further comment on the issue.

Avila believes that the biggest risk to eDreams' business model is market expectations. Any sign of a decrease in subscriptions, pressure to margins, or a drop in targets could trigger aggressive sales.

He said: "eDreams ODIGEO will appeal to investors who are willing to tolerate volatility and have a long-term horizon. It is not for people who just want a good night's sleep while they watch the price each day."

(source: Reuters)